Among the most recognized car manufacturers, Tesla is valued more than the combined market capitalization of GM and Ford. The company’s direct distribution is a strength. The key when it comes to Tesla is about understanding the size of the market the company is creating, which combines EVs, autonomous driving, energy storage and distribution, and real-time insurance.
Tesla is vertically integrated. Therefore, the company runs and operates the Tesla’s plants where cars are manufactured and the Gigafactory which produces the battery packs and stationary storage systems for its electric vehicles, which are sold via direct channels like the Tesla online store and the Tesla physical stores.
Strong brand: Tesla has been able in the last decade to become among the most recognized brand, also thanks to its rockstar CEO, Elon Musk. A single tweet from Elon Musk is worth more than a hundred press releases from major publications. And that helped.
Direct distribution: Tesla benefits from a direct distributionmodel, where the cars are primarily sold in its store or online, and thus Tesla is able to cut the middlemen, thus still able to offer the car at an attractive price (at least the Model 3).
Manufacturing: Tesla has been investing massive resources in building up its own manufacturing facilities, which will be the company’s most important assets for years to come.
Tesla’s weaknesses
In 2023, Tesla generated $96.77 Billion in revenues. Tesla’s business model primarily relies on automotive sales, $78.5 billion (over 81% of the total revenues); services/others followed with over $8 billion; energy generation and storage generated over $6 billion in revenues.
Single-sourced supply chain: while the company still sources most of the components from multiple suppliers, there are still certain, important components that are single-sources. This is in part normal in the car manufacturing space. Yet Tesla tries to prevent the risk of being without the proper stock to assemble the cars by piling stocks of components that are single-sources.
Tesla’s threats
Competition from leading brands: while Tesla is a recognized brand, it’s still a small player in a niche (electric cars) in the automotive industry. This makes Tesla easily attacked by dominating existing brands.
Still low electrical vehicle adoption: Tesla is surfing the growth of the electric car industry growth. If that becomes an industry larger than the current automotive industry, then Tesla will be well-positioned for that. However, if that doesn’t happen Tesla won’t be of as much value. And while the company can control part of this process, another part cannot be controlled.
Delays or other complications in the design, manufacture, launch, and production: if Tesla fails in its go-to-market strategy this can result in big, substantial losses. Therefore, the company will need to make sure to be able to reach its targets in terms of manufacturing and also in developing the proper capability for its manufacturing facilities.
Tesla’s opportunities
Tesla has become among the most recognized car manufacturers. Although, players like GM and Ford delivered more than 2mln cars, compared to Tesla’s over 367K vehicles. Yet Tesla is valued three times more than the combined market capitalization of GM and Ford as the market sees the potential of a market that might become much bigger than the current one.
This huge market potential is reflected in Tesla’s valuation, and the company able to develop new products categories in the space can become a “price setter” where its products will be so differentiated that the company might enjoy good margins for a long time!
Is Tesla a car company?
When Apple launched the iPhone, that indeed was a phone, but it was way more than that, it was a portable computer with Internet access.
The iPhone not only captured the largest market shares of the phone industry, but it also expanded the whole market.
Making the mobile phone market size increase exponentially. And Apple, as of 2022, still takes advantage of this market.
Apple’s made over $365.8 billion in revenues in 2021, of which over $191.9 billion or over 52% of its total revenues came from the iPhone. Yet, the iPhone isn’t just a hardware product; it’s a business platform that combines hardware (iPhone), operating system (iOS), and a marketplace (the App Store). Thus, the company still makes most of its money around a single product which powers up an entrepreneurial ecosystem.
Tesla has borrowed Apple’s playbook to build a business model, starting with cars, but it goes way beyond that.
Is Tesla a car company?
It is, yet, just like the phone industry has been completely reshaped with the iPhone. The car industry is getting completely reshaped with the Tesla EVs.
In fact, Tesla is a car company, a self-driving company, an AI company, a storage and energy distribution company, and more.
This is on the basis of what I like to call market expansion theory.
In short, just like in the 2010s, you could be called a mobile phone company if you just produced the hardware.
Today, the smartphone industry combines hardware, software, and the marketplace.
Therefore, going forward, when we’ll talk about the car industry, we’ll mean something completely different compared to what we think of today, and much much larger.
In fact, EVs combined with self-driving and AI will exponentially grow the size of what, today, we call the car industry.
Just like, in the previous decade what we called the mobile phone industry turned into the smartphone industry.
Key Highlights:
Strengths:
Vertically integrated operations from manufacturing to distribution.
Strong brand recognition and leadership of Elon Musk.
Direct distributionmodel allows cost savings and control over pricing.
Weaknesses:
High reliance on automotive sales for revenue.
Some components single-sourced, posing supply chain risk.
Opportunities:
Potential for market expansion due to growth in EVs, autonomous driving, energy storage, and real-time insurance.
Tesla’s brand and innovative products could establish it as a dominant player in new industries.
Threats:
Competition from established automotive brands.
Uncertainty in EV market growth and adoption rates.
Risk of delays or complications in production and manufacturing processes.
Key Takeaways:
Tesla’s vertically integrated approach and innovative products differentiate it in the automotive industry.
The company’s potential extends beyond traditional car manufacturing into various interconnected industries.
Market expansion theory suggests that Tesla’s influence could reshape the concept of the car industry, similar to how smartphones transformed the mobile phone industry.
By 2024, most of Tesla’s shares are still owned by Elon Musk, among the company’s co-founders and the CEO. Elon Musk is the top individual investor, with a 20.6% stake in the company. Musk is followed by Lawrence Ellison (founder of Oracle), with a 1.5% company stake. Ellison used to sit on Tesla’s board of directors. And Antonio Gracias, among the company’s first investors, has over 1.6 million shares. Other institutional investors and mutual funds like The Vanguard Group (6.9%), andBlackrock (5.6%).
Tesla is vertically integrated. Therefore, the company runs and operates the Tesla’s plants where cars are manufactured and the Gigafactory which produces the battery packs and stationary storage systems for its electric vehicles, which are sold via direct channels like the Tesla online store and the Tesla physical stores.
In 2023, Tesla generated $96.77 Billion in revenues. Tesla’s business model primarily relies on automotive sales, $78.5 billion (over 81% of the total revenues); services/others followed with over $8 billion; energy generation and storage generated over $6 billion in revenues.
Automotive sales are the most critical segment for Tesla, with over $82.4 billion in revenue from automotive parts; most of the gross profits come from automotive sales, with over $16 billion in gross profits, or a 19.4 % gross margin. However, the “energy platform” (generation & storage) is contributing more and more to it. With revenue of $6 billion, a gross profit of over a billion dollars, and gross margins of 18.9%, this might become a critical component of the business model, thus changing its whole strategy.
Tesla didn’t have an official advertising budget until 2023, to spend on advertising, as it has almost been null over the years. Indeed, Tesla leveraged a combination of Elon Musk’s ability to generate significant media coverage and build a product that sold via word of mouth and directly to consumers.
Tesla was profitable in 2023, with a net profit of $14.99B, compared to $12.55 billion in 2022. Tesla has been profitable since 2020. Indeed, Tesla generated $862 million in net profits in 2020. It will further generate $5.6 billion in net profits in 2021.
Telsa’s profit margins moved from negative 3.15% in 2019 to over 15% in 2022. As Tesla scaled up manufacturing and improved its economies of scale (with new facilities) and scope, the company became extremely profitable by 2022.
Tesla’s profit margin per car in 2023 was $8,279, compared to $9580 in 2022, over $6000 in 2021, and over $1700 in 2020. As Tesla was working toward mass manufacturing in 2020, the company’s profitability per car increased massively between 2020 and 2023, though in an attempt to gain market shares, it decreased in 2023 compared to 2022.
Tesla R&D’s costs have doubled in absolute number, from almost $1.5 billion in 2020 to nearly $4 billion in 2024. Yet they have decreased as a percentage of revenue, from 5% in 2020 to 4% in 2022 and 2023. These R&D expenses primarily comprise costs associated with personnel for teams in engineering and research, manufacturing engineering and manufacturing test organizations, prototyping expenses, contracts, and professional services.
In the peak of 2020 and 2021, Tesla reached a market cap revenue multiple of 21x and 18x, respectively. This means that Tesla was valued at 21X over its revenues in 2020 and 18X over its revenue in 2021. By the end of 2022, this multiple decreased to 4.7X. And by February 2024 the multiple increased to 6X.
Elon Musk, seen as one of the most visionary tech entrepreneurs from the Silicon Valley scene, started his “career” as an entrepreneur at an early age. After selling his first startup, Zip2, in 1999, he made $22 million, which he used to found X.com, which would later become PayPal, and sell for over a billion to eBay (Musk made $180 million from the deal). He founded other companies like Tesla (he didn’t start it but became a major investor in the early years) and SpaceX. Tesla started as an electric sports car niche player, eventually turned into a mass manufacturing electric car maker.
Founded in 2003 by Eberhard and Tarpenning, eventually, the initial co-founders left the company, and by 2004, Musk first became the main investor. After that, by 2008, he took over as CEO of the company. Tesla would go through many near-death experiences until 2018. And yet, by 2021, Tesla will become a trillion-dollar company.
Tesla is vertically integrated. Therefore, the company runs and operates the Tesla’s plants where cars are manufactured and the Gigafactory, which produces the battery packs and stationary storage systems for its electric vehicles, which are sold via direct channels like the Tesla online store and the Tesla physical stores.
As an electric automaker and builder of sports cars and now trucks, Tesla’s competitors comprise companies like Ford, Mercedes-Benz, Porsche, Lamborghini, Audi, Rivian Lucid Motors, Toyota, and more. At the same time, Tesla is an electric energy production and storage company (SolarCity); it competes with Sunrun, SunPower, and Vivint Solar. And as an autonomous driving company, it competes with companies like Zoox, Waymo, and Baidu with self-driving software.
A real-time insurance business model enables Tesla to build its insurance arm by dynamically adjusting the premiums based on real-time driving behavior. Reduced insurance premiums hooked with the leasing arm enable Tesla to scale its demand side of the business.
Samsung was founded in South Korea in 1938 by Lee Byung-Chul. Originally a trading company, it took Samsung 22 years to become the fully-fledged electronics company that most people recognize today. Indeed, the company is a leader in technological innovation through telecommunications, electronics, and home appliances.
Costco is a large American multinational corporation with a focus on low-cost, membership-only retail warehouse clubs. Costco is the 4th largest retail operator in the world, operating 785 warehouses in 10 different countries. Indeed, it has enjoyed rapid success growing from zero to $3 billion in sales within six years.
From humble beginnings just over 50 years ago, Walmart has grown to become the world’s largest retail company. A single small discount store in Arkansas has now expanded to over 11,000 stores in 28 countries. Some reports suggest that the company now makes $1.8 million of profit every hour.
Headquartered in San Francisco, California, Uber started as a peer-to-peer ridesharing platform. In more recent times, the company has moved into food delivery, rental cars, and bike-sharing. In one form or another, Uber now has a presence in over 900 cities worldwide.
It would be hard to argue the case for a more recognizable entertainment brand than Disney. Disney is of course synonymous with Walt Disney, but it was Walt and his brother Roy who started the company in 1923 in Burbank, California. Disney content is now broadcast on over 100 channels in 34 different languages across the globe.
Coca-Cola is the market leader of the soft drink industry. It is also the most widely recognized brand, with a Business Insider study revealing that a staggering 94% of the world population recognizes the red and white logo. However, Coca-Cola faces significant challenges with increasingly health-conscious consumers and less access to water resources.
Founded in 1903 by Henry Ford and is the fifth-largest family-owned company in the world. Ford is a globally recognized brand in the automotive industry for a couple of reasons. First, Henry Ford is well-known as the inventor of the production line and thus the modern automobile industry. Today, Ford has also maintained relevance as the seventh-largest car manufacturer worldwide, selling a range of passenger cars, trucks, and vans.
Tesco was founded in 1919 by Jack Cohen, as a small group of market stalls. After rapid expansion in the following years, the company became the largest retailer in the UK and is now the second-largest in the world. To put their dominance into perspective, consider that Tesco serves around 66 shoppers per second across 7000 retails stores, delivering approximately $180,000 worth of sales every minute.
Nestlé is a large multinational food and beverage manufacturer with more than 2000 brands spread across 197 countries. Some of Nestlé’s well-known brands include Nescafe, Kit-Kat, Purina, Aero, Butterfinger, Maggi, and Haagen-Dazs. Originally a producer of infant food in 1867, it is now considered to be the world’s largest food manufacturer.
Amazon is among the most diversified business model in the tech industry. The company is well-positioned to dominate e-commerce further. And while its online stores have tight profit margins, Amazon still unlocks cash for growth, while consolidating its dominance in the cloud and grabbing new opportunities like voice.
Facebook, with its products, with its strong appeal, and consumer brand has a solid business model, threatened in the last years by privacy concerns, which open up the way to potential regulation to break up the company. If that will not happen, Facebook will have the chance to expand to define other markets like VR.
Starbucks is a global consumer brand with direct distribution, recognized brands, and products that make it a viable business. Its reliance on the Americas as a primary operating segment makes it a weakness. At the same time, Starbucks faces risks related to coffee beans price volatility. Yet the company still has global expansion opportunities.
Among the most recognized car manufacturers, Tesla is valued more than the combined market capitalization of GM and Ford. While the company’s direct distribution is a strength, its lack of financial viability is a weakness. Competition is a future threat. However, if Tesla defines a new market for car manufacturing its potential growth will be massive.
Netflix is among the most popular streaming platforms, with a subscription-based business model. The brand, platform, and content are strengths. The volatility of content licensing and production are weaknesses. The streaming market is a potential blue ocean. Inability to attract and retain premium members, and its fixed long-term costs are threats to its business model.
Apple can leverage a strong consumer brand and set of successful products as a strength. Yet the company is still too reliant on the iPhone as a primary revenue stream. Though Apple is working to open up new markets as an opportunity, it has to make sure to sustain its stores’ sales.
Google’s strength is its strong consumer brand. The company is grabbing new opportunities by opening up industries like voice search and consolidating in industries like the cloud. As a weakness, its revenues primarily come from advertising. A primary threat is the quick change of search and potential intervention by regulators.
Gennaro is the creator of FourWeekMBA, which reached about four million business people, comprising C-level executives, investors, analysts, product managers, and aspiring digital entrepreneurs in 2022 alone | He is also Director of Sales for a high-tech scaleup in the AI Industry | In 2012, Gennaro earned an International MBA with emphasis on Corporate Finance and Business Strategy.
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