Threats to internal validity

Internal validity refers to the extent to which a study accurately identifies and establishes a causal relationship between the independent variable (the factor being manipulated or observed) and the dependent variable (the outcome or response being measured), while minimizing the influence of extraneous variables (factors other than the independent variable) that could explain the observed effect.

Key Characteristics of Internal Validity:

  1. Causality: Internal validity is concerned with demonstrating that changes in the independent variable caused the observed changes in the dependent variable.
  2. Extraneous Variables: It focuses on minimizing the impact of extraneous variables that could introduce alternative explanations for the observed results.
  3. Experimental Design: Internal validity is closely linked to the design and execution of an experiment, as well as the control of potential sources of bias.
  4. Control Groups: In experimental research, control groups are often used to enhance internal validity by providing a basis for comparison.

The Significance of Internal Validity

Internal validity is essential for several reasons:

1. Causal Inference:

  • It allows researchers to confidently assert that changes in the independent variable caused the observed changes in the dependent variable, enabling causal inference.

2. Scientific Rigor:

  • High internal validity enhances the credibility and rigor of research findings, increasing their relevance and impact.

3. Practical Applications:

  • Research with strong internal validity is more likely to inform practical applications in fields such as medicine, psychology, education, and policy development.

4. Scientific Progress:

  • Accurate and reliable research findings with high internal validity contribute to the advancement of knowledge and the development of theories.

Threats to Internal Validity

Numerous threats to internal validity can compromise the accuracy of research findings. These threats can be categorized into several broad categories:

1. History:

  • History Threat: Changes in the dependent variable may be caused by external events or factors that occur between the pretest and posttest measurements.

2. Maturation:

  • Maturation Threat: Natural developmental changes or maturation processes in participants can influence the dependent variable.

3. Testing:

  • Testing Threat: Repeated testing of participants, such as administering a pretest before an intervention, can lead to improved performance in subsequent tests due to familiarity with the test items.

4. Instrumentation:

  • Instrumentation Threat: Changes in the measurement instruments or procedures used in the study may affect the dependent variable differently across time or conditions.

5. Regression Toward the Mean:

  • Regression Threat: Extreme scores on a pretest are likely to move closer to the mean on a posttest, creating the illusion of an intervention effect when it is merely a statistical artifact.

6. Selection:

  • Selection Threat: Differences in the characteristics of participants assigned to different groups can confound the results.

7. Mortality:

  • Mortality Threat: Participants dropping out of a study at different rates across conditions can introduce bias if the dropout rate is related to the treatment.

8. Selection-Maturation Interaction:

  • Selection-Maturation Threat: When different groups experience maturation at different rates, and there is also differential selection, it can lead to confounding effects.

9. Diffusion or Imitation of Treatment:

  • Diffusion Threat: Control group participants might be exposed to the treatment condition or information, leading to contamination of the control group.

10. Compensatory Equalization:

  • Compensatory Equalization Threat: Participants in a control group may receive additional benefits or resources to compensate for not receiving the experimental treatment.

11. Compensatory Rivalry:

  • Compensatory Rivalry Threat: Control group participants may become motivated to compete with the experimental group, influencing their performance.

12. Resentful Demoralization:

  • Resentful Demoralization Threat: Control group participants may become demoralized or resentful due to not receiving the experimental treatment, affecting their performance.

13. Experimenter Effects:

  • Experimenter Bias Threat: The experimenter’s expectations or unintentional cues can influence participant behavior or the recording of data.

14. Participant Effects:

  • Participant Bias Threat: Participants may change their behavior or responses based on their perceptions of the experiment’s purpose or expectations.

Strategies for Mitigating Threats to Internal Validity

Researchers employ various strategies to mitigate threats to internal validity and enhance the accuracy of their research findings:

1. Randomization:

  • Randomly assigning participants to different conditions or groups helps distribute extraneous variables evenly across groups, reducing selection threats.

2. Counterbalancing:

  • Counterbalancing the order of treatments or conditions helps control for order effects, addressing testing threats.

3. Control Groups:

  • Including control groups provides a baseline for comparison, helping to identify and control for threats related to history, maturation, and instrumentation.

4. Matching:

  • Pairing participants in treatment and control groups based on relevant characteristics (matching) helps control for selection threats.

5. Blinding:

  • Employing single-blind or double-blind procedures can reduce experimenter and participant bias threats.

6. Homogeneous Sampling:

  • Ensuring that participants in different groups have similar characteristics reduces threats related to selection.

7. Statistical Control:

  • Using statistical techniques such as analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) can help control for the influence of preexisting differences among groups.

8. Monitoring and Reporting:

  • Researchers should thoroughly document and report the study’s procedures and potential threats to internal validity, allowing for transparency and critical evaluation.

9. Replication:

  • Conducting replications of the study with different samples and under different conditions can help verify the robustness of findings and mitigate threats.

Conclusion: Upholding Research Integrity

Maintaining internal validity is essential for the integrity of scientific research. By recognizing and addressing threats to internal validity, researchers can ensure that their findings accurately represent the causal relationships they seek to investigate. As research serves as the foundation for informed decision-making, policy development, and advancements in various fields, safeguarding internal validity contributes to the credibility and reliability of research outcomes, ultimately benefiting society and expanding our understanding of the world.

Key Highlights:

  • Internal Validity Overview:
    • Internal validity refers to a study’s ability to establish a causal relationship between variables while minimizing the influence of extraneous factors.
    • It ensures that changes in the independent variable cause observed changes in the dependent variable.
  • Significance of Internal Validity:
    • Enables causal inference, enhances scientific rigor, facilitates practical applications, and contributes to scientific progress.
  • Threats to Internal Validity:
    • Categories include history, maturation, testing, instrumentation, regression, selection, mortality, selection-maturation interaction, diffusion, compensatory effects, experimenter effects, and participant effects.
  • Strategies for Mitigating Threats:
    • Randomization, counterbalancing, control groups, matching, blinding, homogeneous sampling, statistical control, monitoring and reporting, and replication.
  • Conclusion:
    • Upholding internal validity is crucial for maintaining research integrity and ensuring that findings accurately represent causal relationships, benefiting society and advancing knowledge.

Connected Analysis Frameworks

Failure Mode And Effects Analysis

failure-mode-and-effects-analysis
A failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is a structured approach to identifying design failures in a product or process. Developed in the 1950s, the failure mode and effects analysis is one the earliest methodologies of its kind. It enables organizations to anticipate a range of potential failures during the design stage.

Agile Business Analysis

agile-business-analysis
Agile Business Analysis (AgileBA) is certification in the form of guidance and training for business analysts seeking to work in agile environments. To support this shift, AgileBA also helps the business analyst relate Agile projects to a wider organizational mission or strategy. To ensure that analysts have the necessary skills and expertise, AgileBA certification was developed.

Business Valuation

valuation
Business valuations involve a formal analysis of the key operational aspects of a business. A business valuation is an analysis used to determine the economic value of a business or company unit. It’s important to note that valuations are one part science and one part art. Analysts use professional judgment to consider the financial performance of a business with respect to local, national, or global economic conditions. They will also consider the total value of assets and liabilities, in addition to patented or proprietary technology.

Paired Comparison Analysis

paired-comparison-analysis
A paired comparison analysis is used to rate or rank options where evaluation criteria are subjective by nature. The analysis is particularly useful when there is a lack of clear priorities or objective data to base decisions on. A paired comparison analysis evaluates a range of options by comparing them against each other.

Monte Carlo Analysis

monte-carlo-analysis
The Monte Carlo analysis is a quantitative risk management technique. The Monte Carlo analysis was developed by nuclear scientist Stanislaw Ulam in 1940 as work progressed on the atom bomb. The analysis first considers the impact of certain risks on project management such as time or budgetary constraints. Then, a computerized mathematical output gives businesses a range of possible outcomes and their probability of occurrence.

Cost-Benefit Analysis

cost-benefit-analysis
A cost-benefit analysis is a process a business can use to analyze decisions according to the costs associated with making that decision. For a cost analysis to be effective it’s important to articulate the project in the simplest terms possible, identify the costs, determine the benefits of project implementation, assess the alternatives.

CATWOE Analysis

catwoe-analysis
The CATWOE analysis is a problem-solving strategy that asks businesses to look at an issue from six different perspectives. The CATWOE analysis is an in-depth and holistic approach to problem-solving because it enables businesses to consider all perspectives. This often forces management out of habitual ways of thinking that would otherwise hinder growth and profitability. Most importantly, the CATWOE analysis allows businesses to combine multiple perspectives into a single, unifying solution.

VTDF Framework

competitor-analysis
It’s possible to identify the key players that overlap with a company’s business model with a competitor analysis. This overlapping can be analyzed in terms of key customers, technologies, distribution, and financial models. When all those elements are analyzed, it is possible to map all the facets of competition for a tech business model to understand better where a business stands in the marketplace and its possible future developments.

Pareto Analysis

pareto-principle-pareto-analysis
The Pareto Analysis is a statistical analysis used in business decision making that identifies a certain number of input factors that have the greatest impact on income. It is based on the similarly named Pareto Principle, which states that 80% of the effect of something can be attributed to just 20% of the drivers.

Comparable Analysis

comparable-company-analysis
A comparable company analysis is a process that enables the identification of similar organizations to be used as a comparison to understand the business and financial performance of the target company. To find comparables you can look at two key profiles: the business and financial profile. From the comparable company analysis it is possible to understand the competitive landscape of the target organization.

SWOT Analysis

swot-analysis
A SWOT Analysis is a framework used for evaluating the business’s Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats. It can aid in identifying the problematic areas of your business so that you can maximize your opportunities. It will also alert you to the challenges your organization might face in the future.

PESTEL Analysis

pestel-analysis
The PESTEL analysis is a framework that can help marketers assess whether macro-economic factors are affecting an organization. This is a critical step that helps organizations identify potential threats and weaknesses that can be used in other frameworks such as SWOT or to gain a broader and better understanding of the overall marketing environment.

Business Analysis

business-analysis
Business analysis is a research discipline that helps driving change within an organization by identifying the key elements and processes that drive value. Business analysis can also be used in Identifying new business opportunities or how to take advantage of existing business opportunities to grow your business in the marketplace.

Financial Structure

financial-structure
In corporate finance, the financial structure is how corporations finance their assets (usually either through debt or equity). For the sake of reverse engineering businesses, we want to look at three critical elements to determine the model used to sustain its assets: cost structure, profitability, and cash flow generation.

Financial Modeling

financial-modeling
Financial modeling involves the analysis of accounting, finance, and business data to predict future financial performance. Financial modeling is often used in valuation, which consists of estimating the value in dollar terms of a company based on several parameters. Some of the most common financial models comprise discounted cash flows, the M&A model, and the CCA model.

Value Investing

value-investing
Value investing is an investment philosophy that looks at companies’ fundamentals, to discover those companies whose intrinsic value is higher than what the market is currently pricing, in short value investing tries to evaluate a business by starting by its fundamentals.

Buffet Indicator

buffet-indicator
The Buffet Indicator is a measure of the total value of all publicly-traded stocks in a country divided by that country’s GDP. It’s a measure and ratio to evaluate whether a market is undervalued or overvalued. It’s one of Warren Buffet’s favorite measures as a warning that financial markets might be overvalued and riskier.

Financial Analysis

financial-accounting
Financial accounting is a subdiscipline within accounting that helps organizations provide reporting related to three critical areas of a business: its assets and liabilities (balance sheet), its revenues and expenses (income statement), and its cash flows (cash flow statement). Together those areas can be used for internal and external purposes.

Post-Mortem Analysis

post-mortem-analysis
Post-mortem analyses review projects from start to finish to determine process improvements and ensure that inefficiencies are not repeated in the future. In the Project Management Book of Knowledge (PMBOK), this process is referred to as “lessons learned”.

Retrospective Analysis

retrospective-analysis
Retrospective analyses are held after a project to determine what worked well and what did not. They are also conducted at the end of an iteration in Agile project management. Agile practitioners call these meetings retrospectives or retros. They are an effective way to check the pulse of a project team, reflect on the work performed to date, and reach a consensus on how to tackle the next sprint cycle.

Root Cause Analysis

root-cause-analysis
In essence, a root cause analysis involves the identification of problem root causes to devise the most effective solutions. Note that the root cause is an underlying factor that sets the problem in motion or causes a particular situation such as non-conformance.

Blindspot Analysis

blindspot-analysis

Break-even Analysis

break-even-analysis
A break-even analysis is commonly used to determine the point at which a new product or service will become profitable. The analysis is a financial calculation that tells the business how many products it must sell to cover its production costs.  A break-even analysis is a small business accounting process that tells the business what it needs to do to break even or recoup its initial investment. 

Decision Analysis

decision-analysis
Stanford University Professor Ronald A. Howard first defined decision analysis as a profession in 1964. Over the ensuing decades, Howard has supervised many doctoral theses on the subject across topics including nuclear waste disposal, investment planning, hurricane seeding, and research strategy. Decision analysis (DA) is a systematic, visual, and quantitative decision-making approach where all aspects of a decision are evaluated before making an optimal choice.

DESTEP Analysis

destep-analysis
A DESTEP analysis is a framework used by businesses to understand their external environment and the issues which may impact them. The DESTEP analysis is an extension of the popular PEST analysis created by Harvard Business School professor Francis J. Aguilar. The DESTEP analysis groups external factors into six categories: demographic, economic, socio-cultural, technological, ecological, and political.

STEEP Analysis

steep-analysis
The STEEP analysis is a tool used to map the external factors that impact an organization. STEEP stands for the five key areas on which the analysis focuses: socio-cultural, technological, economic, environmental/ecological, and political. Usually, the STEEP analysis is complementary or alternative to other methods such as SWOT or PESTEL analyses.

STEEPLE Analysis

steeple-analysis
The STEEPLE analysis is a variation of the STEEP analysis. Where the step analysis comprises socio-cultural, technological, economic, environmental/ecological, and political factors as the base of the analysis. The STEEPLE analysis adds other two factors such as Legal and Ethical.

Activity-Based Management

activity-based-management-abm
Activity-based management (ABM) is a framework for determining the profitability of every aspect of a business. The end goal is to maximize organizational strengths while minimizing or eliminating weaknesses. Activity-based management can be described in the following steps: identification and analysis, evaluation and identification of areas of improvement.

PMESII-PT Analysis

pmesii-pt
PMESII-PT is a tool that helps users organize large amounts of operations information. PMESII-PT is an environmental scanning and monitoring technique, like the SWOT, PESTLE, and QUEST analysis. Developed by the United States Army, used as a way to execute a more complex strategy in foreign countries with a complex and uncertain context to map.

SPACE Analysis

space-analysis
The SPACE (Strategic Position and Action Evaluation) analysis was developed by strategy academics Alan Rowe, Richard Mason, Karl Dickel, Richard Mann, and Robert Mockler. The particular focus of this framework is strategy formation as it relates to the competitive position of an organization. The SPACE analysis is a technique used in strategic management and planning. 

Lotus Diagram

lotus-diagram
A lotus diagram is a creative tool for ideation and brainstorming. The diagram identifies the key concepts from a broad topic for simple analysis or prioritization.

Functional Decomposition

functional-decomposition
Functional decomposition is an analysis method where complex processes are examined by dividing them into their constituent parts. According to the Business Analysis Body of Knowledge (BABOK), functional decomposition “helps manage complexity and reduce uncertainty by breaking down processes, systems, functional areas, or deliverables into their simpler constituent parts and allowing each part to be analyzed independently.”

Multi-Criteria Analysis

multi-criteria-analysis
The multi-criteria analysis provides a systematic approach for ranking adaptation options against multiple decision criteria. These criteria are weighted to reflect their importance relative to other criteria. A multi-criteria analysis (MCA) is a decision-making framework suited to solving problems with many alternative courses of action.

Stakeholder Analysis

stakeholder-analysis
A stakeholder analysis is a process where the participation, interest, and influence level of key project stakeholders is identified. A stakeholder analysis is used to leverage the support of key personnel and purposefully align project teams with wider organizational goals. The analysis can also be used to resolve potential sources of conflict before project commencement.

Strategic Analysis

strategic-analysis
Strategic analysis is a process to understand the organization’s environment and competitive landscape to formulate informed business decisions, to plan for the organizational structure and long-term direction. Strategic planning is also useful to experiment with business model design and assess the fit with the long-term vision of the business.

Related Strategy Concepts: Go-To-Market StrategyMarketing StrategyBusiness ModelsTech Business ModelsJobs-To-Be DoneDesign ThinkingLean Startup CanvasValue ChainValue Proposition CanvasBalanced ScorecardBusiness Model CanvasSWOT AnalysisGrowth HackingBundlingUnbundlingBootstrappingVenture CapitalPorter’s Five ForcesPorter’s Generic StrategiesPorter’s Five ForcesPESTEL AnalysisSWOTPorter’s Diamond ModelAnsoffTechnology Adoption CurveTOWSSOARBalanced ScorecardOKRAgile MethodologyValue PropositionVTDF FrameworkBCG MatrixGE McKinsey MatrixKotter’s 8-Step Change Model.

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