normative-social-influence

Normative Social Influence

Normative Social Influence is a psychological phenomenon where individuals conform to social norms and behaviors to gain acceptance and approval from a group. People adhere to these norms to avoid social rejection, seeking validation and a sense of belonging. It can lead to positive social cohesion but may also limit individuality and critical thinking.

Understanding Normative Social Influence

  • Definition: Normative social influence refers to the tendency of individuals to conform to the behaviors, beliefs, and values of a group or society to gain social acceptance and avoid social rejection. It often involves changing one’s behavior to align with perceived social norms, even when it contradicts personal beliefs or preferences.
  • Key Features:
    • Social Norms: Normative social influence is driven by the desire to adhere to social norms, which are implicit or explicit rules that govern acceptable behavior within a group or culture.
    • External Conformity: Conformity in normative social influence is primarily driven by external factors, such as the fear of social disapproval or the desire to be liked by others.

Mechanisms of Normative Social Influence

  • Social Comparison: People engage in social comparison by evaluating their beliefs, behaviors, and opinions in relation to others. When individuals perceive a discrepancy between their views and those of the group, they may conform to reduce the discomfort of being different.
  • Fear of Rejection: The fear of social rejection or exclusion can be a powerful motivator for conformity. Individuals often choose to conform to avoid being ostracized or isolated from a group.
  • Desire for Social Approval: Human beings have a natural inclination to seek social approval and validation. Normative social influence leverages this desire to encourage conformity with group norms.

Real-World Examples of Normative Social Influence

  • Peer Pressure: Adolescents and young adults frequently experience normative social influence from peers who encourage them to engage in specific behaviors, such as smoking, drinking, or adopting certain fashion trends.
  • Fashion Trends: The fashion industry heavily relies on normative social influence to promote the latest trends and styles. Individuals may conform to these trends to fit in with the prevailing fashion culture.
  • Consumer Behavior: Marketers often use social influence strategies, such as showing others using a product, to encourage consumers to conform to popular buying choices.
  • Online Behavior: Social media platforms can amplify normative social influence, as individuals may conform to the opinions and behaviors of influencers and their followers.

Mitigating the Effects of Normative Social Influence

  • Awareness: Recognizing when normative social influence is at play is the first step in mitigating its effects. Self-awareness allows individuals to make conscious decisions about whether to conform or assert their independence.
  • Critical Thinking: Encouraging critical thinking and individual reflection can help individuals evaluate whether conformity is in line with their personal values and beliefs.
  • Confidence: Building self-confidence can reduce the need for external validation, making individuals less susceptible to normative social influence.
  • Supportive Relationships: Having a support network of individuals who value independent thinking and diverse perspectives can provide a buffer against conformity pressures.

Key Highlights of Normative Social Influence:

  • Conformity Dynamics: Normative Social Influence involves adjusting behavior to align with social norms.
  • Acceptance Motivation: People conform to gain acceptance and avoid social rejection.
  • Public Compliance: Conformity is often displayed publicly, even if privately disagreed upon.
  • Social Norms Impact: It influences adherence to societal norms and cultural practices.
  • Group Dynamics: Common in group settings, especially where social acceptance is valued.
  • Peer Pressure: Normative Social Influence can lead to peer pressure.
  • Social Cohesion: Conformity promotes cohesion within groups and societies.
  • Social Order Maintenance: Helps in maintaining social order and stability.
  • Group Approval: Individuals seek approval and acceptance from others through conformity.
  • Conformity Pressure: Individuals may conform even when privately disagreeing with the norm.
  • Loss of Individuality: The desire for acceptance may lead to suppressing unique preferences and ideas.
  • Ethical Considerations: Raises ethical concerns, especially when used to manipulate behavior.
  • Fashion Trends: Conforming to fashion trends for social acceptance.
  • Social Media Influence: Social media platforms shaping behaviors and opinions through likes and shares.
  • Peer Approval: Engaging in risky behaviors to gain approval from peers.

FrameworkDescriptionWhen to Apply
ConformityConformity: Conformity refers to the tendency for individuals to adjust their attitudes, beliefs, and behaviors to align with group norms or expectations. It can occur due to social pressure, the desire for acceptance, or the need to avoid rejection. Conformity is influenced by factors such as group size, unanimity, and the perceived expertise of group members. By understanding the dynamics of conformity, interventions can promote awareness of social influence processes and encourage critical thinking and independent decision-making. Strategies such as role-playing exercises, dissenting models, and normative feedback can help individuals resist conformity pressures and express their authentic views and values.Promoting awareness of social influence processes and encouraging critical thinking through conformity principles, in organizational culture, team dynamics, or peer group contexts where organizations aim to foster diversity of thought and inclusive decision-making, in implementing interventions or workshops that provide role-playing exercises and normative feedback to mitigate conformity pressures, in adopting strategies or approaches that promote dissenting models and individual expression through conformity principles and practices.
Social Comparison TheorySocial Comparison Theory: Social comparison theory posits that individuals evaluate their abilities, opinions, and behaviors by comparing themselves to others. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to group norms or behaviors to enhance their social acceptance or self-esteem. Social comparison processes can lead to upward or downward comparisons, influencing individuals’ perceptions of themselves and their behaviors. By understanding the role of social comparison in shaping attitudes and behaviors, interventions can promote positive self-esteem, reduce social comparison tendencies, and encourage authentic self-expression. Strategies such as self-affirmation exercises, positive role modeling, and feedback interventions can help individuals cultivate resilience and self-acceptance in the face of social influence pressures.Promoting positive self-esteem and reducing social comparison tendencies through social comparison theory, in education, social media, or organizational settings where organizations aim to foster self-confidence and authenticity, in implementing interventions or programs that provide self-affirmation exercises and positive role modeling to mitigate social comparison pressures, in adopting strategies or approaches that offer constructive feedback and promote resilience through social comparison theory principles and practices.
Public CompliancePublic Compliance: Public compliance refers to the outward conformity to group norms or behaviors without genuine acceptance or internalization of those norms. It occurs when individuals conform to avoid social disapproval or gain approval from others. Public compliance can lead to surface-level conformity, where individuals comply with group expectations in public settings but maintain their own beliefs or preferences privately. By recognizing the distinction between public compliance and private acceptance, interventions can address social pressure dynamics and empower individuals to express their authentic selves. Strategies such as assertiveness training, autonomy support, and peer support networks can help individuals navigate social influence situations and assert their autonomy and values in interpersonal interactions.Navigating social influence situations and asserting autonomy through public compliance principles, in peer pressure, group dynamics, or organizational culture where organizations aim to promote assertiveness and authenticity, in implementing interventions or workshops that provide assertiveness training and peer support to mitigate public compliance pressures, in adopting strategies or approaches that foster autonomy support and encourage self-expression through public compliance principles and practices.
Social Identity TheorySocial Identity Theory: Social identity theory posits that individuals derive their self-concept and self-esteem from their group memberships and social identities. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to group norms or behaviors to maintain a positive social identity or ingroup status. Social identity processes can lead to ingroup favoritism, outgroup derogation, and intergroup conflict, shaping individuals’ attitudes and behaviors towards ingroup and outgroup members. By understanding the dynamics of social identity, interventions can promote intergroup harmony, reduce prejudice, and foster inclusive communities. Strategies such as intergroup contact, identity salience manipulation, and diversity training can help individuals transcend group boundaries and embrace diversity within and across social identities.Promoting intergroup harmony and reducing prejudice through social identity theory, in diversity training, intergroup relations, or community development where organizations aim to foster inclusive communities and reduce intergroup conflict, in implementing interventions or programs that provide intergroup contact and identity salience manipulation to mitigate social identity biases, in adopting strategies or approaches that promote diversity awareness and embrace inclusive identities through social identity theory principles and practices.
Norm Activation ModelNorm Activation Model: The norm activation model proposes that individuals’ likelihood of conforming to social norms depends on the salience of the norm, their personal beliefs about the norm’s importance, and their perceived ability to comply with the norm. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to norms perceived as relevant and important in their social context. Norm activation processes involve cognitive appraisal, affective reactions, and behavioral intentions to align with group expectations. By understanding the factors influencing norm activation, interventions can promote positive social norms and encourage prosocial behavior. Strategies such as normative messaging, social modeling, and peer reinforcement can help individuals internalize desirable norms and promote collective well-being.Promoting positive social norms and encouraging prosocial behavior through the norm activation model, in community campaigns, behavior change initiatives, or organizational culture where organizations aim to promote collective well-being and social responsibility, in implementing interventions or campaigns that use normative messaging and social modeling to activate desirable norms, in adopting strategies or approaches that reinforce peer reinforcement and positive socialization through the norm activation model principles and practices.
Descriptive NormsDescriptive Norms: Descriptive norms refer to individuals’ perceptions of the prevalence or typicality of a behavior within their social group or environment. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to descriptive norms to fit in with their peers or avoid deviating from the group. Descriptive norms influence behavior through social comparison processes and the desire for social acceptance. By understanding the power of descriptive norms in shaping behavior, interventions can leverage social influence dynamics to promote positive behaviors and discourage harmful ones. Strategies such as normative feedback, social proof, and bystander interventions can help individuals align their behaviors with desirable descriptive norms and foster a culture of collective responsibility and accountability.Promoting positive behaviors and discouraging harmful ones through descriptive norms, in health promotion, environmental conservation, or safety initiatives where organizations aim to influence behavior and social norms, in implementing interventions or campaigns that provide normative feedback and social proof to align behaviors with desirable norms, in adopting strategies or approaches that facilitate bystander interventions and promote collective responsibility through descriptive norms principles and practices.
Normative FeedbackNormative Feedback: Normative feedback involves providing individuals with information about the typical or desired behavior within their social group or community. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to normative feedback to align their behaviors with group expectations or social norms. Normative feedback can influence behavior change by highlighting discrepancies between individuals’ behaviors and perceived norms, motivating them to adjust their behavior to match the norm. By providing accurate and salient normative feedback, interventions can promote positive behavior change and create social norms that support collective well-being. Strategies such as social comparison messages, peer benchmarks, and community pledges can harness normative influence processes to foster a culture of positive reinforcement and social responsibility.Promoting positive behavior change and creating supportive social norms through normative feedback, in community interventions, public health campaigns, or organizational initiatives where organizations aim to influence behavior and norms, in implementing interventions or campaigns that provide social comparison messages and peer benchmarks to align behaviors with desired norms, in adopting strategies or approaches that encourage community pledges and foster social responsibility through normative feedback principles and practices.
Social Learning TheorySocial Learning Theory: Social learning theory posits that individuals acquire new behaviors and attitudes through observation, imitation, and reinforcement of others’ actions. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to observed behaviors or attitudes of role models or influential figures within their social environment. Social learning processes involve attention, retention, reproduction, and motivation to imitate modeled behaviors. By understanding the mechanisms of social learning, interventions can promote positive role modeling, provide constructive feedback, and create environments conducive to behavior change. Strategies such as peer mentoring, modeling interventions, and social skill training can facilitate social learning processes and empower individuals to adopt desirable behaviors and attitudes through social influence.Facilitating social learning processes and empowering behavior change through social learning theory, in education, leadership development, or skill-building contexts where organizations aim to promote positive role modeling and social influence, in implementing interventions or programs that provide peer mentoring and modeling interventions to facilitate social learning, in adopting strategies or approaches that offer social skill training and constructive feedback through social learning theory principles and practices.
Social Impact TheorySocial Impact Theory: Social impact theory proposes that the influence of social forces on individuals’ behavior depends on three factors: the strength, immediacy, and number of sources exerting influence. Normative social influence occurs when individuals conform to group norms or behaviors due to the perceived strength of social pressure from others. Social impact processes involve social facilitation, social inhibition, and social loafing, shaping individuals’ responses to group influence. By understanding the dynamics of social impact, interventions can mitigate conformity pressures and empower individuals to express their authentic opinions and values. Strategies such as role clarification, group cohesion-building, and leadership training can help individuals resist social influence and assert their autonomy within group settings.Mitigating conformity pressures and empowering autonomy through social impact theory, in team dynamics, group decision-making, or organizational culture where organizations aim to promote individual expression and autonomy, in implementing interventions or workshops that provide role clarification and leadership training to mitigate social influence pressures, in adopting strategies or approaches that foster group cohesion and empower dissent through social impact theory principles and practices.
Pluralistic IgnorancePluralistic Ignorance: Pluralistic ignorance occurs when individuals privately reject a norm or belief but incorrectly assume that others accept it, leading to public conformity to the perceived norm. Normative social influence exacerbates pluralistic ignorance by reinforcing conformity pressures and perpetuating misconceptions about group norms. Pluralistic ignorance can inhibit individuals from expressing dissenting views or challenging the status quo due to the fear of social rejection or ostracism. By debunking misconceptions and fostering open dialogue, interventions can empower individuals to voice their true opinions and promote collective understanding and acceptance of diverse perspectives. Strategies such as norm clarification, group discussions, and diversity training can dismantle pluralistic ignorance and create environments conducive to genuine expression and mutual respect.Empowering individuals to voice diverse perspectives and challenge misconceptions through pluralistic ignorance, in diversity initiatives, organizational change, or community dialogue where organizations aim to promote inclusion and understanding, in implementing interventions or discussions that clarify norms and encourage open dialogue to address misconceptions, in adopting strategies or approaches that provide diversity training and foster mutual respect through pluralistic ignorance principles and practices.

Connected Thinking Frameworks

Convergent vs. Divergent Thinking

convergent-vs-divergent-thinking
Convergent thinking occurs when the solution to a problem can be found by applying established rules and logical reasoning. Whereas divergent thinking is an unstructured problem-solving method where participants are encouraged to develop many innovative ideas or solutions to a given problem. Where convergent thinking might work for larger, mature organizations where divergent thinking is more suited for startups and innovative companies.

Critical Thinking

critical-thinking
Critical thinking involves analyzing observations, facts, evidence, and arguments to form a judgment about what someone reads, hears, says, or writes.

Biases

biases
The concept of cognitive biases was introduced and popularized by the work of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman in 1972. Biases are seen as systematic errors and flaws that make humans deviate from the standards of rationality, thus making us inept at making good decisions under uncertainty.

Second-Order Thinking

second-order-thinking
Second-order thinking is a means of assessing the implications of our decisions by considering future consequences. Second-order thinking is a mental model that considers all future possibilities. It encourages individuals to think outside of the box so that they can prepare for every and eventuality. It also discourages the tendency for individuals to default to the most obvious choice.

Lateral Thinking

lateral-thinking
Lateral thinking is a business strategy that involves approaching a problem from a different direction. The strategy attempts to remove traditionally formulaic and routine approaches to problem-solving by advocating creative thinking, therefore finding unconventional ways to solve a known problem. This sort of non-linear approach to problem-solving, can at times, create a big impact.

Bounded Rationality

bounded-rationality
Bounded rationality is a concept attributed to Herbert Simon, an economist and political scientist interested in decision-making and how we make decisions in the real world. In fact, he believed that rather than optimizing (which was the mainstream view in the past decades) humans follow what he called satisficing.

Dunning-Kruger Effect

dunning-kruger-effect
The Dunning-Kruger effect describes a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a task overestimate their ability to perform that task well. Consumers or businesses that do not possess the requisite knowledge make bad decisions. What’s more, knowledge gaps prevent the person or business from seeing their mistakes.

Occam’s Razor

occams-razor
Occam’s Razor states that one should not increase (beyond reason) the number of entities required to explain anything. All things being equal, the simplest solution is often the best one. The principle is attributed to 14th-century English theologian William of Ockham.

Lindy Effect

lindy-effect
The Lindy Effect is a theory about the ageing of non-perishable things, like technology or ideas. Popularized by author Nicholas Nassim Taleb, the Lindy Effect states that non-perishable things like technology age – linearly – in reverse. Therefore, the older an idea or a technology, the same will be its life expectancy.

Antifragility

antifragility
Antifragility was first coined as a term by author, and options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Antifragility is a characteristic of systems that thrive as a result of stressors, volatility, and randomness. Therefore, Antifragile is the opposite of fragile. Where a fragile thing breaks up to volatility; a robust thing resists volatility. An antifragile thing gets stronger from volatility (provided the level of stressors and randomness doesn’t pass a certain threshold).

Systems Thinking

systems-thinking
Systems thinking is a holistic means of investigating the factors and interactions that could contribute to a potential outcome. It is about thinking non-linearly, and understanding the second-order consequences of actions and input into the system.

Vertical Thinking

vertical-thinking
Vertical thinking, on the other hand, is a problem-solving approach that favors a selective, analytical, structured, and sequential mindset. The focus of vertical thinking is to arrive at a reasoned, defined solution.

Maslow’s Hammer

einstellung-effect
Maslow’s Hammer, otherwise known as the law of the instrument or the Einstellung effect, is a cognitive bias causing an over-reliance on a familiar tool. This can be expressed as the tendency to overuse a known tool (perhaps a hammer) to solve issues that might require a different tool. This problem is persistent in the business world where perhaps known tools or frameworks might be used in the wrong context (like business plans used as planning tools instead of only investors’ pitches).

Peter Principle

peter-principle
The Peter Principle was first described by Canadian sociologist Lawrence J. Peter in his 1969 book The Peter Principle. The Peter Principle states that people are continually promoted within an organization until they reach their level of incompetence.

Straw Man Fallacy

straw-man-fallacy
The straw man fallacy describes an argument that misrepresents an opponent’s stance to make rebuttal more convenient. The straw man fallacy is a type of informal logical fallacy, defined as a flaw in the structure of an argument that renders it invalid.

Streisand Effect

streisand-effect
The Streisand Effect is a paradoxical phenomenon where the act of suppressing information to reduce visibility causes it to become more visible. In 2003, Streisand attempted to suppress aerial photographs of her Californian home by suing photographer Kenneth Adelman for an invasion of privacy. Adelman, who Streisand assumed was paparazzi, was instead taking photographs to document and study coastal erosion. In her quest for more privacy, Streisand’s efforts had the opposite effect.

Heuristic

heuristic
As highlighted by German psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer in the paper “Heuristic Decision Making,” the term heuristic is of Greek origin, meaning “serving to find out or discover.” More precisely, a heuristic is a fast and accurate way to make decisions in the real world, which is driven by uncertainty.

Recognition Heuristic

recognition-heuristic
The recognition heuristic is a psychological model of judgment and decision making. It is part of a suite of simple and economical heuristics proposed by psychologists Daniel Goldstein and Gerd Gigerenzer. The recognition heuristic argues that inferences are made about an object based on whether it is recognized or not.

Representativeness Heuristic

representativeness-heuristic
The representativeness heuristic was first described by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. The representativeness heuristic judges the probability of an event according to the degree to which that event resembles a broader class. When queried, most will choose the first option because the description of John matches the stereotype we may hold for an archaeologist.

Take-The-Best Heuristic

take-the-best-heuristic
The take-the-best heuristic is a decision-making shortcut that helps an individual choose between several alternatives. The take-the-best (TTB) heuristic decides between two or more alternatives based on a single good attribute, otherwise known as a cue. In the process, less desirable attributes are ignored.

Bundling Bias

bundling-bias
The bundling bias is a cognitive bias in e-commerce where a consumer tends not to use all of the products bought as a group, or bundle. Bundling occurs when individual products or services are sold together as a bundle. Common examples are tickets and experiences. The bundling bias dictates that consumers are less likely to use each item in the bundle. This means that the value of the bundle and indeed the value of each item in the bundle is decreased.

Barnum Effect

barnum-effect
The Barnum Effect is a cognitive bias where individuals believe that generic information – which applies to most people – is specifically tailored for themselves.

First-Principles Thinking

first-principles-thinking
First-principles thinking – sometimes called reasoning from first principles – is used to reverse-engineer complex problems and encourage creativity. It involves breaking down problems into basic elements and reassembling them from the ground up. Elon Musk is among the strongest proponents of this way of thinking.

Ladder Of Inference

ladder-of-inference
The ladder of inference is a conscious or subconscious thinking process where an individual moves from a fact to a decision or action. The ladder of inference was created by academic Chris Argyris to illustrate how people form and then use mental models to make decisions.

Goodhart’s Law

goodharts-law
Goodhart’s Law is named after British monetary policy theorist and economist Charles Goodhart. Speaking at a conference in Sydney in 1975, Goodhart said that “any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes.” Goodhart’s Law states that when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.

Six Thinking Hats Model

six-thinking-hats-model
The Six Thinking Hats model was created by psychologist Edward de Bono in 1986, who noted that personality type was a key driver of how people approached problem-solving. For example, optimists view situations differently from pessimists. Analytical individuals may generate ideas that a more emotional person would not, and vice versa.

Mandela Effect

mandela-effect
The Mandela effect is a phenomenon where a large group of people remembers an event differently from how it occurred. The Mandela effect was first described in relation to Fiona Broome, who believed that former South African President Nelson Mandela died in prison during the 1980s. While Mandela was released from prison in 1990 and died 23 years later, Broome remembered news coverage of his death in prison and even a speech from his widow. Of course, neither event occurred in reality. But Broome was later to discover that she was not the only one with the same recollection of events.

Crowding-Out Effect

crowding-out-effect
The crowding-out effect occurs when public sector spending reduces spending in the private sector.

Bandwagon Effect

bandwagon-effect
The bandwagon effect tells us that the more a belief or idea has been adopted by more people within a group, the more the individual adoption of that idea might increase within the same group. This is the psychological effect that leads to herd mentality. What in marketing can be associated with social proof.

Moore’s Law

moores-law
Moore’s law states that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years. This observation was made by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore in 1965 and it become a guiding principle for the semiconductor industry and has had far-reaching implications for technology as a whole.

Disruptive Innovation

disruptive-innovation
Disruptive innovation as a term was first described by Clayton M. Christensen, an American academic and business consultant whom The Economist called “the most influential management thinker of his time.” Disruptive innovation describes the process by which a product or service takes hold at the bottom of a market and eventually displaces established competitors, products, firms, or alliances.

Value Migration

value-migration
Value migration was first described by author Adrian Slywotzky in his 1996 book Value Migration – How to Think Several Moves Ahead of the Competition. Value migration is the transferal of value-creating forces from outdated business models to something better able to satisfy consumer demands.

Bye-Now Effect

bye-now-effect
The bye-now effect describes the tendency for consumers to think of the word “buy” when they read the word “bye”. In a study that tracked diners at a name-your-own-price restaurant, each diner was asked to read one of two phrases before ordering their meal. The first phrase, “so long”, resulted in diners paying an average of $32 per meal. But when diners recited the phrase “bye bye” before ordering, the average price per meal rose to $45.

Groupthink

groupthink
Groupthink occurs when well-intentioned individuals make non-optimal or irrational decisions based on a belief that dissent is impossible or on a motivation to conform. Groupthink occurs when members of a group reach a consensus without critical reasoning or evaluation of the alternatives and their consequences.

Stereotyping

stereotyping
A stereotype is a fixed and over-generalized belief about a particular group or class of people. These beliefs are based on the false assumption that certain characteristics are common to every individual residing in that group. Many stereotypes have a long and sometimes controversial history and are a direct consequence of various political, social, or economic events. Stereotyping is the process of making assumptions about a person or group of people based on various attributes, including gender, race, religion, or physical traits.

Murphy’s Law

murphys-law
Murphy’s Law states that if anything can go wrong, it will go wrong. Murphy’s Law was named after aerospace engineer Edward A. Murphy. During his time working at Edwards Air Force Base in 1949, Murphy cursed a technician who had improperly wired an electrical component and said, “If there is any way to do it wrong, he’ll find it.”

Law of Unintended Consequences

law-of-unintended-consequences
The law of unintended consequences was first mentioned by British philosopher John Locke when writing to parliament about the unintended effects of interest rate rises. However, it was popularized in 1936 by American sociologist Robert K. Merton who looked at unexpected, unanticipated, and unintended consequences and their impact on society.

Fundamental Attribution Error

fundamental-attribution-error
Fundamental attribution error is a bias people display when judging the behavior of others. The tendency is to over-emphasize personal characteristics and under-emphasize environmental and situational factors.

Outcome Bias

outcome-bias
Outcome bias describes a tendency to evaluate a decision based on its outcome and not on the process by which the decision was reached. In other words, the quality of a decision is only determined once the outcome is known. Outcome bias occurs when a decision is based on the outcome of previous events without regard for how those events developed.

Hindsight Bias

hindsight-bias
Hindsight bias is the tendency for people to perceive past events as more predictable than they actually were. The result of a presidential election, for example, seems more obvious when the winner is announced. The same can also be said for the avid sports fan who predicted the correct outcome of a match regardless of whether their team won or lost. Hindsight bias, therefore, is the tendency for an individual to convince themselves that they accurately predicted an event before it happened.

Read Next: BiasesBounded RationalityMandela EffectDunning-Kruger EffectLindy EffectCrowding Out EffectBandwagon Effect.

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