jeff-bezos-day-1

Jeff Bezos on Why Successful Companies Need to Stay in “Day One”

In a letter to shareholders in 2016, Jeff Bezos addressed a topic he had been thinking about quite profoundly in the last decades as he led Amazon: Day 1. As Jeff Bezos put it, “Day 2 is stasis. Followed by irrelevance. Followed by excruciating, painful decline. Followed by death. And that is why it is always Day 1.”

Breaking down Day 1

In the letter to shareholders for 2016, Jeff Bezos addressed an important topic. Something he had been thinking quite profoundly in the last two decades: Day 1. 

What is that, and why is that so important?

Jeff Bezos starts the letter by saying:

“Jeff, what does Day 2 look like?”

That’s a question I just got at our most recent all-hands meeting. I’ve been reminding people that it’s Day 1 for a couple of decades. I work in an Amazon building named Day 1, and when I moved buildings, I took the name with me. I spend time thinking about this topic.

“Day 2 is stasis. Followed by irrelevance. Followed by excruciating, painful decline. Followed by death. And that is why it is always Day 1.”

To be sure, this kind of decline would happen in extreme slow motion. An established company might harvest Day 2 for decades, but the final result would still come.

I’m interested in the question, how do you fend off Day 2? What are the techniques and tactics? How do you keep the vitality of Day 1, even inside a large organization?

Such a question can’t have a simple answer. There will be many elements, multiple paths, and many traps. I don’t know the whole answer, but I may know bits of it. Here’s a starter pack of essentials for Day 1 defense: customer obsession, a skeptical view of proxies, the eager adoption of external trends, and high-velocity decision making.

Let’s dive into each of those points, which made Jeff Bezos convinced that Day 1 is all that is about to build great businesses that stand the passing of time and shape the future.

True Customer Obsession

customer-obsession
Customer obsession goes beyond quantitative and qualitative data about customers, and it moves around customers’ feedback to gather valuable insights. Those insights start by the entrepreneur’s wandering process, driven by hunch, gut, intuition, curiosity, and a builder mindset. The product discovery moves around a building, reworking, experimenting, and iterating loop.

There are many ways to center a business. You can be competitor focused, you can be product focused, you can be technology focused, you can be business model focused, and there are more. But in my view, obsessive customer focus is by far the most protective of Day 1 vitality.

In fact, according to Jeff Bezos customers, even when they report being happy; in reality, they’re looking for something better. He mentions how customers didn’t know they wanted a prime membership until he created it.

As he specifies:

Staying in Day 1 requires you to experiment patiently, accept failures, plant seeds, protect saplings, and double down when you see customer delight. A customer-obsessed culture best creates the conditions where all of that can happen.

Resist Proxies

As companies get larger and more complex, there’s a tendency to manage to proxies. This comes in many shapes and sizes, and it’s dangerous, subtle, and very Day 2.

In short, if you focus on the process you might end up losing sight of the outcome. The consequence is to confuse the process for the outcome itself.

In fact, as Jeff Bezos continues:

The process is not the thing. It’s always worth asking, do we own the process or does the process own us? In a Day 2 company, you might find it’s the second.

Embrace External Trends

The outside world can push you into Day 2 if you won’t or can’t embrace powerful trends quickly. If you fight them, you’re probably fighting the future. Embrace them and you have a tailwind.

In fact, according to Jeff Bezos, that is not hard to find large trends. What it’s hard – especially for large organizations – is to embrace those trends.

He mentions how Amazon has made of AI and machine learning an essential part of the company’s vision. He also suggests how this strategy is taking shape in a few products:

Amazon Lex (what’s inside Alexa), Amazon Polly, and Amazon Rekognition remove the heavy lifting from natural language understanding, speech generation, and image analysis. They can be accessed with simple API calls – no machine learning expertise required. Watch this space. Much more to come.

High-Velocity Decision Making

Day 2 companies make high-quality decisions, but they make high-quality decisions slowly. To keep the energy and dynamism of Day 1, you have to somehow make high-quality, high-velocity decisions. Easy for start-ups and very challenging for large organizations. The senior team at Amazon is determined to keep our decision-making velocity high. Speed matters in business – plus a high-velocity decision making environment is more fun too. 

How do you make the best of a high-velocity decision-making process?

First, never use a one-size-fits-all decision-making process

Second, most decisions should probably be made with somewhere around 70% of the information you wish you had. (if you wait for 90% you’re too slow)

Third, use the phrase “disagree and commit.” (not everyone might agree, but when a decision is taken over a direction, everyone should move with the decision toward it!)

Fourth, recognize true misalignment issues early and escalate them immediately.

In short, for many entrepreneurs, building a successful business is about creating great products.

For others, it’s all about designing sustainable business models. For Jeff Bezos, it’s all about Day 1!

Key highlights

  • Day 1 vs. Day 2: Bezos defines Day 1 as a state of constant innovation and forward momentum, while Day 2 represents stagnation and eventual decline. He emphasizes the importance of staying in Day 1 to avoid irrelevance and decline.
  • Essentials for Day 1 Defense:
    • Customer Obsession: Bezos stresses the importance of being relentlessly focused on customers’ needs and desires, even before they articulate them themselves. This involves experimentation, accepting failure, and nurturing customer delight.
    • Resist Proxies: Avoid managing to proxies and prioritize outcomes over processes. Stay focused on what truly matters rather than becoming entrenched in bureaucratic procedures.
    • Embrace External Trends: Recognize and adapt to external trends quickly, rather than resisting or ignoring them. This includes embracing emerging technologies and market shifts.
    • High-Velocity Decision Making: Make high-quality decisions swiftly, maintaining agility and adaptability. Be willing to make decisions with limited information and encourage a culture of “disagree and commit” to keep momentum.
  • True Customer Obsession: Bezos advocates for going beyond traditional data analysis and instead focusing on deeply understanding and anticipating customers’ needs and desires, even when they aren’t explicitly expressed.
  • Resisting Proxies: Be cautious of becoming too focused on processes rather than outcomes, as this can lead to stagnation and inefficiency.
  • Embracing External Trends: Amazon’s success is attributed to its ability to embrace and leverage emerging trends such as AI and machine learning, allowing the company to innovate and stay ahead of the curve.
  • High-Velocity Decision Making: Encourage rapid, decisive decision-making processes within the organization, even if it means making decisions with incomplete information. This agility is crucial for maintaining a Day 1 mindset.

Related to Amazon Business Model

Amazon Business Model

amazon-business-model
Amazon has a diversified business model. In 2023, Amazon generated nearly $575 billion in revenues while it posted a net profit of over $30 billion. Online stores contributed over 40% of Amazon revenues. Third-party Seller Services and Physical Stores generated the remaining. Amazon AWS, Subscription Services, and Advertising revenues play a significant role within Amazon as fast-growing segments.

Amazon Mission Statement

amazon-vision-statement-mission-statement (1)
Amazon’s mission statement is to “serve consumers through online and physical stores and focus on selection, price, and convenience.” Amazon’s vision statement is “to be Earth’s most customer-centric company, where customers can find and discover anything they might want to buy online, and endeavors to offer its customers the lowest possible prices.” 

Customer Obsession

customer-obsession
In the Amazon Shareholders’ Letter for 2018, Jeff Bezos analyzed the Amazon business model, and it also focused on a few key lessons that Amazon as a company has learned over the years. These lessons are fundamental for any entrepreneur, of small or large organization to understand the pitfalls to avoid to run a successful company!

Who Owns Amazon

who-owns-amazon
With 64,588,418 shares, Jeff Bezos is the primary individual investor. Owning 12.7% of the company. Other top individual investors include Amazon’s CEO Andy Jessy, who has 94,729 shares. Top institutional investors include mutual funds like The Vanguard Group (6.6% ownership) and BlackRock (5.7% ownership). 

Amazon Revenues

amazon-revenues
Amazon generated over half a trillion dollars in revenue in 2023, of which $231.87B from online stores, over $140.05B from third-party seller services, $90.76B from AWS, $46.9B from advertising, $40.21B from subscription services, $20.03B billion in physical stores, and $4.96B from other sources.

Amazon Profitability

is-amazon-profitable
Amazon was profitable in 2023. On nearly $575 billion in revenue for 2023, Amazon generated a net profit of over $30 billion. Since 2014, Amazon hasn’t recorded a net loss, but it did record a net loss of over $2.7 billion in 2022, while it recouped that in 2023.  Indeed, in 2014, Amazon reported a net loss of $241 million, and it would be profitable until 2021. In 2022, Amazon turned unprofitable again and highly profitable again in 2023. 

Amazon AWS Business

amazon-aws-platform-business-model
Amazon AWS follows a platform business model that gains traction by tapping into network effects. Born as an infrastructure built on top of Amazon’s infrastructure, AWS has become a company offering cloud services to thousands of clients from the enterprise level, to startups. And its marketplace enables companies to connect to other service providers to build integrated solutions for their organizations.

Amazon Prime Revenue

amazon-prime-revenue
Amazon subscription revenue in 2023 was over $40 billion, compared to over $35 billion in 2022 and nearly $32 billion in 2021. Amazon Prime grew from a $4.5 billion revenue segment in 2015 to an over $40 billion segment in 2023.

Amazon Advertising Revenue

amazon-ads-revenues

Amazon Cash Conversion

cash-conversion-cycle-amazon

Working Backwards

working-backwards
The Amazon Working Backwards Method is a product development methodology that advocates building a product based on customer needs. The Amazon Working Backwards Method gained traction after notable Amazon employee Ian McAllister shared the company’s product development approach on Quora. McAllister noted that the method seeks “to work backwards from the customer, rather than starting with an idea for a product and trying to bolt customers onto it.”

Amazon Flywheel

amazon-flywheel
The Amazon Flywheel or Amazon Virtuous Cycle is a strategy that leverages on customer experience to drive traffic to the platform and third-party sellers. That improves the selections of goods, and Amazon further improves its cost structure so it can decrease prices which spins the flywheel.

Jeff Bezos Day One

jeff-bezos-day-1
In the letter to shareholders in 2016, Jeff Bezos addressed a topic he had been thinking quite profoundly in the last decades as he led Amazon: Day 1. As Jeff Bezos put it “Day 2 is stasis. Followed by irrelevance. Followed by excruciating, painful decline. Followed by death. And that is why it is always Day 1.”

Regret Minimization Framework

regret-minimization-framework
A regret minimization framework is a business heuristic that enables you to make a decision, by projecting yourself in the future, at an old age, and visualize whether the regrets of missing an opportunity would hunt you down, vs. having taken the opportunity and failed. In short, if taking action and failing feels much better than regretting it, in the long run, that is when you’re ready to go!

Network Effects

network-effects
network effect is a phenomenon in which as more people or users join a platform, the more the value of the service offered by the platform improves for those joining afterward.

Platform Business Model

platform-business-models
A platform business model generates value by enabling interactions between people, groups, and users by leveraging network effects. Platform business models usually comprise two sides: supply and demand. Kicking off the interactions between those two sides is one of the crucial elements for a platform business model’s success.

Jeff Bezos Empire

jeff-bezos-companies
Jeff Bezos was best known for founding eCommerce giant Amazon in 1994. However, the entrepreneur owns companies in several industries, including health care, retail, robotics, real estate, and media. Many of these companies have been acquired by Amazon over the years, but some have been the result of direct investment from Bezos himself (through his investment arm is called Bezos Expeditions).

Amazon Subsidiaries

amazon-subsidiaries
Amazon is a consumer e-commerce platform with a diversified business model spanning across e-commerce, cloud, advertising, streaming, and more. Over the years Amazon acquired several companies. Among its 12 subsidiaries, Amazon has AbeBooks.com, Audible, CamiXology, Fabric.com, IMDb, PillPack, Shopbop, Souq.com, Twitch, Whole Foods Market, Woot! and Zappos.

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