Gedankenexperiment, a German term meaning “thought experiment,” is a powerful tool used in science, philosophy, and creativity to explore theoretical concepts, test hypotheses, and gain insights into complex phenomena through mental simulation.
The concept of Gedankenexperiment has ancient roots, with early examples found in the works of philosophers such as Plato and Aristotle. However, it gained prominence in the scientific revolution of the 17th century, particularly with the rise of empiricism and rationalism, as scientists and philosophers sought to explore abstract concepts and hypothetical scenarios through mental simulation.
Principles of Gedankenexperiment:
Gedankenexperiment operates on several key principles:
Abstract Reasoning: Gedankenexperiment involves abstract reasoning and imagination to construct hypothetical scenarios or thought experiments that explore the consequences of theoretical principles, laws of nature, or philosophical concepts.
Logical Consistency: Gedankenexperiment relies on logical consistency and coherence to ensure that the hypothetical scenario or thought experiment adheres to established principles, laws, or assumptions, allowing for meaningful insights and conclusions to be drawn from the exercise.
Empirical Relevance: Gedankenexperiment aims to generate insights and predictions that are empirically relevant and testable, providing theoretical foundations for empirical research, experimentation, or observation in science, philosophy, and other disciplines.
Applications of Gedankenexperiment:
Gedankenexperiment has diverse applications across various domains:
Physics: Gedankenexperiment has been used in physics to explore theoretical concepts such as relativity, quantum mechanics, and cosmology, allowing scientists to visualize and understand complex phenomena that may be difficult or impossible to observe directly.
Philosophy: Gedankenexperiment plays a central role in philosophical inquiry, allowing philosophers to explore ethical dilemmas, metaphysical questions, and thought experiments that challenge conventional wisdom and stimulate critical thinking and reflection.
Creativity and Innovation: Gedankenexperiment is a powerful tool for fostering creativity and innovation, as it encourages individuals to think outside the box, question assumptions, and explore alternative possibilities and scenarios that may lead to breakthrough ideas and solutions.
Examples of Gedankenexperiment:
Einstein’s Elevator: One famous Gedankenexperiment devised by Albert Einstein involved imagining an elevator accelerating in outer space, leading to the realization that gravitational forces and acceleration are indistinguishable, laying the foundation for the theory of general relativity.
Schrödinger’s Cat: Another well-known Gedankenexperiment proposed by physicist Erwin Schrödinger involved a hypothetical scenario in which a cat inside a sealed box is simultaneously alive and dead until observed, illustrating the concept of quantum superposition and the role of observation in quantum mechanics.
Trolley Problem: In philosophy, the trolley problem is a Gedankenexperiment that presents a moral dilemma involving a runaway trolley heading toward a group of people, and the decision to divert the trolley onto a different track, potentially sacrificing one person to save many others.
Benefits of Gedankenexperiment:
Conceptual Clarity: Gedankenexperiment promotes conceptual clarity and understanding by allowing individuals to visualize and explore abstract concepts, theories, and phenomena in concrete and intuitive ways, fostering deeper insights and comprehension.
Hypothesis Testing: Gedankenexperiment serves as a valuable tool for hypothesis testing and theoretical exploration, enabling scientists, philosophers, and thinkers to evaluate the implications of hypotheses, theories, or principles in hypothetical scenarios before conducting empirical research or experimentation.
Creativity Enhancement: Gedankenexperiment stimulates creativity and imagination by providing a framework for exploring alternative possibilities, challenging assumptions, and generating novel ideas and solutions that may inspire innovation and breakthroughs in science, technology, and other domains.
Challenges and Limitations:
Validity and Reliability: Gedankenexperiment may face challenges in terms of validity and reliability, as the insights and conclusions drawn from hypothetical scenarios or thought experiments may not always correspond to empirical reality or be subject to verification through observation or experimentation.
Subjectivity and Bias: Gedankenexperiment is subject to the biases, assumptions, and preconceptions of the individual conducting the thought experiment, raising concerns about subjective interpretation and interpretation of results, particularly in fields where multiple interpretations are possible.
Ethical Considerations: Gedankenexperiment involving hypothetical scenarios with moral or ethical implications must be approached with sensitivity and caution, considering the potential consequences and implications of the thought experiment on individuals, society, and ethical principles.
Ethical Considerations:
Respect for Persons: Gedankenexperiment involving ethical dilemmas or sensitive issues should uphold the principles of respect for persons, autonomy, and dignity, ensuring that individuals are not harmed or exploited through the hypothetical scenario or thought experiment.
Informed Consent: Researchers and thinkers conducting Gedankenexperiment involving human subjects should obtain informed consent and ensure that participants understand the purpose, risks, and potential impacts of the thought experiment on their well-being and rights.
Ethical Oversight: Institutions and organizations conducting Gedankenexperiment should establish ethical oversight mechanisms, such as institutional review boards or research ethics committees, to review and approve thought experiments involving human subjects, ensuring compliance with ethical principles, guidelines, and regulations.
Mitigating Ethical Concerns:
Ethical Guidelines: Develop and adhere to ethical guidelines, principles, and codes of conduct that govern the conduct of Gedankenexperiment and ensure the protection of participants’ rights, welfare, and interests, while promoting integrity, transparency, and accountability in research and inquiry.
Peer Review: Subject Gedankenexperiment to peer review and scrutiny by experts in the relevant field or discipline, who can evaluate the validity, rigor, and ethical implications of the thought experiment and provide feedback and recommendations for improvement or refinement.
Public Engagement: Engage with the public and stakeholders to foster transparency, dialogue, and accountability around Gedankenexperiment, explaining the purpose, methodology, and ethical considerations of the thought experiment and soliciting feedback, input, and perspectives from diverse perspectives and communities.
Conclusion:
Gedankenexperiment is a versatile and powerful tool that has played a pivotal role in advancing scientific inquiry, philosophical discourse, and creative thinking throughout history. By enabling individuals to explore hypothetical scenarios, test hypotheses, and gain insights into complex phenomena through mental simulation, Gedankenexperiment has the potential to expand our understanding of the world and inspire innovation, discovery, and ethical reflection. However, to realize the full potential of Gedankenexperiment while mitigating ethical concerns and ensuring responsible inquiry and exploration, collaboration, transparency, and ethical oversight are essential. Through collective efforts and a commitment to ethical principles and integrity, Gedankenexperiment can continue to serve as a valuable tool for knowledge generation, discovery, and progress in science, philosophy, and creativity.
Convergent thinking occurs when the solution to a problem can be found by applying established rules and logical reasoning. Whereas divergent thinking is an unstructured problem-solving method where participants are encouraged to develop many innovative ideas or solutions to a given problem. Where convergent thinking might work for larger, mature organizations where divergent thinking is more suited for startups and innovative companies.
The concept of cognitive biases was introduced and popularized by the work of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman in 1972. Biases are seen as systematic errors and flaws that make humans deviate from the standards of rationality, thus making us inept at making good decisions under uncertainty.
Second-order thinking is a means of assessing the implications of our decisions by considering future consequences. Second-order thinking is a mental model that considers all future possibilities. It encourages individuals to think outside of the box so that they can prepare for every and eventuality. It also discourages the tendency for individuals to default to the most obvious choice.
Lateral thinking is a business strategy that involves approaching a problem from a different direction. The strategy attempts to remove traditionally formulaic and routine approaches to problem-solving by advocating creative thinking, therefore finding unconventional ways to solve a known problem. This sort of non-linear approach to problem-solving, can at times, create a big impact.
Bounded rationality is a concept attributed to Herbert Simon, an economist and political scientist interested in decision-making and how we make decisions in the real world. In fact, he believed that rather than optimizing (which was the mainstream view in the past decades) humans follow what he called satisficing.
The Dunning-Kruger effect describes a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a task overestimate their ability to perform that task well. Consumers or businesses that do not possess the requisite knowledge make bad decisions. What’s more, knowledge gaps prevent the person or business from seeing their mistakes.
Occam’s Razor states that one should not increase (beyond reason) the number of entities required to explain anything. All things being equal, the simplest solution is often the best one. The principle is attributed to 14th-century English theologian William of Ockham.
The Lindy Effect is a theory about the ageing of non-perishable things, like technology or ideas. Popularized by author Nicholas Nassim Taleb, the Lindy Effect states that non-perishable things like technology age – linearly – in reverse. Therefore, the older an idea or a technology, the same will be its life expectancy.
Antifragility was first coined as a term by author, and options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Antifragility is a characteristic of systems that thrive as a result of stressors, volatility, and randomness. Therefore, Antifragile is the opposite of fragile. Where a fragile thing breaks up to volatility; a robust thing resists volatility. An antifragile thing gets stronger from volatility (provided the level of stressors and randomness doesn’t pass a certain threshold).
Systems thinking is a holistic means of investigating the factors and interactions that could contribute to a potential outcome. It is about thinking non-linearly, and understanding the second-order consequences of actions and input into the system.
Vertical thinking, on the other hand, is a problem-solving approach that favors a selective, analytical, structured, and sequential mindset. The focus of vertical thinking is to arrive at a reasoned, defined solution.
Maslow’s Hammer, otherwise known as the law of the instrument or the Einstellung effect, is a cognitive bias causing an over-reliance on a familiar tool. This can be expressed as the tendency to overuse a known tool (perhaps a hammer) to solve issues that might require a different tool. This problem is persistent in the business world where perhaps known tools or frameworks might be used in the wrong context (like business plans used as planning tools instead of only investors’ pitches).
The Peter Principle was first described by Canadian sociologist Lawrence J. Peter in his 1969 book The Peter Principle. The Peter Principle states that people are continually promoted within an organization until they reach their level of incompetence.
The straw man fallacy describes an argument that misrepresents an opponent’s stance to make rebuttal more convenient. The straw man fallacy is a type of informal logical fallacy, defined as a flaw in the structure of an argument that renders it invalid.
The Streisand Effect is a paradoxical phenomenon where the act of suppressing information to reduce visibility causes it to become more visible. In 2003, Streisand attempted to suppress aerial photographs of her Californian home by suing photographer Kenneth Adelman for an invasion of privacy. Adelman, who Streisand assumed was paparazzi, was instead taking photographs to document and study coastal erosion. In her quest for more privacy, Streisand’s efforts had the opposite effect.
As highlighted by German psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer in the paper “Heuristic Decision Making,” the term heuristic is of Greek origin, meaning “serving to find out or discover.” More precisely, a heuristic is a fast and accurate way to make decisions in the real world, which is driven by uncertainty.
The recognition heuristic is a psychological model of judgment and decision making. It is part of a suite of simple and economical heuristics proposed by psychologists Daniel Goldstein and Gerd Gigerenzer. The recognition heuristic argues that inferences are made about an object based on whether it is recognized or not.
The representativeness heuristic was first described by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. The representativeness heuristic judges the probability of an event according to the degree to which that event resembles a broader class. When queried, most will choose the first option because the description of John matches the stereotype we may hold for an archaeologist.
The take-the-best heuristic is a decision-making shortcut that helps an individual choose between several alternatives. The take-the-best (TTB) heuristic decides between two or more alternatives based on a single good attribute, otherwise known as a cue. In the process, less desirable attributes are ignored.
The bundling bias is a cognitive bias in e-commerce where a consumer tends not to use all of the products bought as a group, or bundle. Bundling occurs when individual products or services are sold together as a bundle. Common examples are tickets and experiences. The bundling bias dictates that consumers are less likely to use each item in the bundle. This means that the value of the bundle and indeed the value of each item in the bundle is decreased.
The Barnum Effect is a cognitive bias where individuals believe that generic information – which applies to most people – is specifically tailored for themselves.
First-principles thinking – sometimes called reasoning from first principles – is used to reverse-engineer complex problems and encourage creativity. It involves breaking down problems into basic elements and reassembling them from the ground up. Elon Musk is among the strongest proponents of this way of thinking.
The ladder of inference is a conscious or subconscious thinking process where an individual moves from a fact to a decision or action. The ladder of inference was created by academic Chris Argyris to illustrate how people form and then use mental models to make decisions.
Goodhart’s Law is named after British monetary policy theorist and economist Charles Goodhart. Speaking at a conference in Sydney in 1975, Goodhart said that “any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes.” Goodhart’s Law states that when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
The Six Thinking Hats model was created by psychologist Edward de Bono in 1986, who noted that personality type was a key driver of how people approached problem-solving. For example, optimists view situations differently from pessimists. Analytical individuals may generate ideas that a more emotional person would not, and vice versa.
The Mandela effect is a phenomenon where a large group of people remembers an event differently from how it occurred. The Mandela effect was first described in relation to Fiona Broome, who believed that former South African President Nelson Mandela died in prison during the 1980s. While Mandela was released from prison in 1990 and died 23 years later, Broome remembered news coverage of his death in prison and even a speech from his widow. Of course, neither event occurred in reality. But Broome was later to discover that she was not the only one with the same recollection of events.
The bandwagon effect tells us that the more a belief or idea has been adopted by more people within a group, the more the individual adoption of that idea might increase within the same group. This is the psychological effect that leads to herd mentality. What in marketing can be associated with social proof.
Moore’s law states that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years. This observation was made by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore in 1965 and it become a guiding principle for the semiconductor industry and has had far-reaching implications for technology as a whole.
Disruptive innovation as a term was first described by Clayton M. Christensen, an American academic and business consultant whom The Economist called “the most influential management thinker of his time.” Disruptive innovation describes the process by which a product or service takes hold at the bottom of a market and eventually displaces established competitors, products, firms, or alliances.
Value migration was first described by author Adrian Slywotzky in his 1996 book Value Migration – How to Think Several Moves Ahead of the Competition. Value migration is the transferal of value-creating forces from outdated business models to something better able to satisfy consumer demands.
The bye-now effect describes the tendency for consumers to think of the word “buy” when they read the word “bye”. In a study that tracked diners at a name-your-own-price restaurant, each diner was asked to read one of two phrases before ordering their meal. The first phrase, “so long”, resulted in diners paying an average of $32 per meal. But when diners recited the phrase “bye bye” before ordering, the average price per meal rose to $45.
Groupthink occurs when well-intentioned individuals make non-optimal or irrational decisions based on a belief that dissent is impossible or on a motivation to conform. Groupthink occurs when members of a group reach a consensus without critical reasoning or evaluation of the alternatives and their consequences.
A stereotype is a fixed and over-generalized belief about a particular group or class of people. These beliefs are based on the false assumption that certain characteristics are common to every individual residing in that group. Many stereotypes have a long and sometimes controversial history and are a direct consequence of various political, social, or economic events. Stereotyping is the process of making assumptions about a person or group of people based on various attributes, including gender, race, religion, or physical traits.
Murphy’s Law states that if anything can go wrong, it will go wrong. Murphy’s Law was named after aerospace engineer Edward A. Murphy. During his time working at Edwards Air Force Base in 1949, Murphy cursed a technician who had improperly wired an electrical component and said, “If there is any way to do it wrong, he’ll find it.”
The law of unintended consequences was first mentioned by British philosopher John Locke when writing to parliament about the unintended effects of interest rate rises. However, it was popularized in 1936 by American sociologist Robert K. Merton who looked at unexpected, unanticipated, and unintended consequences and their impact on society.
Fundamental attribution error is a bias people display when judging the behavior of others. The tendency is to over-emphasize personal characteristics and under-emphasize environmental and situational factors.
Outcome bias describes a tendency to evaluate a decision based on its outcome and not on the process by which the decision was reached. In other words, the quality of a decision is only determined once the outcome is known. Outcome bias occurs when a decision is based on the outcome of previous events without regard for how those events developed.
Hindsight bias is the tendency for people to perceive past events as more predictable than they actually were. The result of a presidential election, for example, seems more obvious when the winner is announced. The same can also be said for the avid sports fan who predicted the correct outcome of a match regardless of whether their team won or lost. Hindsight bias, therefore, is the tendency for an individual to convince themselves that they accurately predicted an event before it happened.
Gennaro is the creator of FourWeekMBA, which reached about four million business people, comprising C-level executives, investors, analysts, product managers, and aspiring digital entrepreneurs in 2022 alone | He is also Director of Sales for a high-tech scaleup in the AI Industry | In 2012, Gennaro earned an International MBA with emphasis on Corporate Finance and Business Strategy.
