leading-indicator-vs-lagging-indicator

Leading Indicator Vs. Lagging Indicator

Leading indicators are also called inputs because they define what actions are necessary to achieve a measurable outcome. Lagging indicators are outputs that measure the performance of leading indicators (inputs). Therefore, a leading indicator is forward-looking (driving change), whereas a lagging indicator is primarily backward-looking (recording the past).

What is a leading indicator and a lagging indicator?

A leading indicator looks forward to future outcomes or events. Conversely, a lagging indicator looks back at whether the desired result was achieved.

Understanding a leading indicator vs. a lagging indicator

Leading and lagging indicators have become standard terms in performance management and measurement. 

However, some businesses have trouble distinguishing between the two because many indicators have both leading and lagging characteristics at the same time.

Let’s look at both types in more detail to clarify the differences:

  • Leading indicators are indicators of performance that may predict future success. They are predictive measurements. For example, a certain percentage of workers wearing hard hats on a construction site is a leading safety indicator.
  • Lagging indicators are indicators of past performance that measure how a business has performed. They are output measurements. For example, the number of accidents on a construction site is a lagging safety indicator.

No matter the industry, there is one key difference between the two indicators.

A leading indicator has the power to influence change, but a lagging indicator can only record what has happened.

What’s the right mix between leading and lagging indicators?

Ultimately, the most successful businesses use lagging and leading indicators to determine if outcomes were met or to identify new trends.

They also use lagging indicators to create leading indicators that will accelerate growth.

For instance, motivated employees are a proven lead indicator of customer satisfaction.

High-performing processes are a lead indicator of cost-efficiency. 

Key takeaways:

  • A leading indicator looks forward to future events and their outcomes. Conversely, a lagging indicator looks at past performance and whether the desired outcome was achieved.
  • Leading indicators are predictive measurements that have the power to cause change. Lagging indicators are output measurements that only record what has happened.
  • The most successful businesses will use a combination of leading and lagging indicators to measure outcomes, identify trends, and accelerate growth strategies.

Connected Business Concepts

Double-Entry

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Double-entry accounting is the foundation of modern financial accounting. It’s based on the accounting equation, where assets equal liabilities plus equity. That is the fundamental unit to build financial statements (balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement). The basic concept of double-entry is that a single transaction, to be recorded, will hit two accounts.

Balance Sheet

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The purpose of the balance sheet is to report how the resources to run the operations of the business were acquired. The Balance Sheet helps to assess the financial risk of a business and the simplest way to describe it is given by the accounting equation (assets = liability + equity).

Income Statement

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The income statement, together with the balance sheet and the cash flow statement is among the key financial statements to understand how companies perform at fundamental level. The income statement shows the revenues and costs for a period and whether the company runs at profit or loss (also called P&L statement).

Cash Flow Statement

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The cash flow statement is the third main financial statement, together with income statement and the balance sheet. It helps to assess the liquidity of an organization by showing the cash balances coming from operations, investing and financing. The cash flow statement can be prepared with two separate methods: direct or indirect.

Capital Structure

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The capital structure shows how an organization financed its operations. Following the balance sheet structure, usually, assets of an organization can be built either by using equity or liability. Equity usually comprises endowment from shareholders and profit reserves. Where instead, liabilities can comprise either current (short-term debt) or non-current (long-term obligations).

Capital Expenditure

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Capital expenditure or capital expense represents the money spent toward things that can be classified as fixed asset, with a longer term value. As such they will be recorded under non-current assets, on the balance sheet, and they will be amortized over the years. The reduced value on the balance sheet is expensed through the profit and loss.

Financial Statements

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Financial statements help companies assess several aspects of the business, from profitability (income statement) to how assets are sourced (balance sheet), and cash inflows and outflows (cash flow statement). Financial statements are also mandatory to companies for tax purposes. They are also used by managers to assess the performance of the business.

Circle of Competence

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The circle of competence describes a person’s natural competence in an area that matches their skills and abilities. Beyond this imaginary circle are skills and abilities that a person is naturally less competent at. The concept was popularised by Warren Buffett, who argued that investors should only invest in companies they know and understand. However, the circle of competence applies to any topic and indeed any individual.

What is a Moat

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Economic or market moats represent the long-term business defensibility. Or how long a business can retain its competitive advantage in the marketplace over the years. Warren Buffet who popularized the term “moat” referred to it as a share of mind, opposite to market share, as such it is the characteristic that all valuable brands have.

Buffet Indicator

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The Buffet Indicator is a measure of the total value of all publicly-traded stocks in a country divided by that country’s GDP. It’s a measure and ratio to evaluate whether a market is undervalued or overvalued. It’s one of Warren Buffet’s favorite measures as a warning that financial markets might be overvalued and riskier.

Price Sensitivity

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Price sensitivity can be explained using the price elasticity of demand, a concept in economics that measures the variation in product demand as the price of the product itself varies. In consumer behavior, price sensitivity describes and measures fluctuations in product demand as the price of that product changes.

Price Ceiling

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price ceiling is a price control or limit on how high a price can be charged for a product, service, or commodity. Price ceilings are limits imposed on the price of a product, service, or commodity to protect consumers from prohibitively expensive items. These limits are usually imposed by the government but can also be set in the resale price maintenance (RPM) agreement between a product manufacturer and its distributors. 

Price Elasticity

price-elasticity
Price elasticity measures the responsiveness of the quantity demanded or supplied of a good to a change in its price. It can be described as elastic, where consumers are responsive to price changes, or inelastic, where consumers are less responsive to price changes. Price elasticity, therefore, is a measure of how consumers react to the price of products and services.

Economies of Scale

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In Economics, Economies of Scale is a theory for which, as companies grow, they gain cost advantages. More precisely, companies manage to benefit from these cost advantages as they grow, due to increased efficiency in production. Thus, as companies scale and increase production, a subsequent decrease in the costs associated with it will help the organization scale further.

Diseconomies of Scale

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In Economics, a Diseconomy of Scale happens when a company has grown so large that its costs per unit will start to increase. Thus, losing the benefits of scale. That can happen due to several factors arising as a company scales. From coordination issues to management inefficiencies and lack of proper communication flows.

Network Effects

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network effect is a phenomenon in which as more people or users join a platform, the more the value of the service offered by the platform improves for those joining afterward.

Negative Network Effects

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In a negative network effect as the network grows in usage or scale, the value of the platform might shrink. In platform business models network effects help the platform become more valuable for the next user joining. In negative network effects (congestion or pollution) reduce the value of the platform for the next user joining. 

Connected Video Lectures

Read Next: SWOT Analysis, Personal SWOT Analysis, TOWS Matrix, PESTEL Analysis, Porter’s Five Forces.

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