The consumer trend canvas is a simple framework for understanding consumer trends and uncovering innovation opportunities. The consumer trend canvas is a simple framework for identifying consumer trends and creating value-based innovation. The framework encourages successful innovation that is customer-centric without necessarily being consumer-led. That is, it encourages businesses to identify trends before they become mainstream.
Many organizations believe consumer trends are mysterious, opaque, abstract, or difficult to predict. What’s more, they seem to come as quickly as they go.
In today’s expectation economy, many trends emerge from where quality, positive impact, and personal expression meet. Uber is regarded as having started a trend based on prompt, interactive, and personalized service across multiple domains. On the other hand, socially responsible companies such as Patagonia have revolutionized guilt-free consumption and so-called ‘meaningful consumerism’.
The consumer trend canvas is one of a suite of similar tools for aspiring innovators, including the business model canvas, value proposition canvas, and storytelling canvas.
The two components of the consumer trend canvas
The consumer trend canvas is comprised of two components which in turn are divided into parts.
Let’s take a look at each component and part below.
1 – Analyze
The left-hand side of the canvas diagram is devoted to helping a business understand the trend it is examining. The analyze component consists of four parts:
Basic needs – what are meaningful consumer needs the trend addresses? It’s important to realize that trends are driven by fundamental needs that rarely change. Some of the more common needs driving consumer behavior include social status, self-improvement, connection, identity, freedom, entertainment, and simplicity.
Drivers of change – why is the trend occurring now? Trends are invariably driven by change as consumers satisfy their needs in more novel or exciting ways. To analyze change, the business must consider shifts and triggers. Shifts are long-term, macro changes such as urbanization and the climate emergency. Triggers are more immediate factors driving the emergence of a trend, including new technology, environmental accidents, or economic shocks.
Emerging consumer expectations – what are the new needs, desires, or wants created by the change? How does the trend satisfy them? Identifying these unmet needs is the key to creating innovative products. In other words, is there a gap between what the consumer wants and what they currently have?
Inspiration – how are other businesses applying the trend? In most cases, innovation results when previously unrelated information is combined and deployed in a new, useful, context. Companies should find their inspiration from a wide gamut of industries, perspectives, regions, and cultures.
2 – Apply
On the right-hand side of the canvas, space is provided to identify the potential opportunities a trend could bring to a business.
This component consists of three more parts:
Innovation potential – how and where might the trend be applied? How will the trend influence the company’s business model or vision? Will new products, services, or marketing campaigns need to be created? The business must avoid jumping on a trend for the sake of it, particularly when the trend is not aligned with organizational, industry, or cultural values.
Who – or the new customer group likely to be impacted by a trend. Linking a specific demographic to a trend is simple in hindsight. However, the business must find a way to make the trend relevant to a new group of people to be truly innovative.
Innovation – from the information gathered above, new and innovative ideas should then be brainstormed and recorded. Each session should be led by a competent moderator who provides a creative environment and encourages a diverse range of opinions.
Key takeaways:
The consumer trend canvas is a comprehensive and holistic framework for identifying new consumer trends and developing innovative products or services.
The consumer trend canvas stresses the importance of customer-centric trends over customer-led trends. By the time a trend is led by customers, it is likely too late for a new player to take advantage of it.
The consumer trend canvas requires the business to describe trends in terms of six key parts: basic consumer needs, drivers of change, emerging consumer expectations, inspiration, innovation potential, and new consumers or consumer demographics.
Key Highlights of the Consumer Trend Canvas:
Framework for Innovation: The Consumer Trend Canvas is a framework designed to help businesses understand consumer trends and uncover opportunities for value-based innovation. It emphasizes the importance of customer-centric trends and the need to identify trends before they become mainstream.
Understanding Trends:
Consumer trends often emerge at the intersection of quality, positive impact, and personal expression.
Trends can arise from addressing fundamental consumer needs like social status, self-improvement, connection, identity, freedom, entertainment, and simplicity.
Trends are driven by both long-term shifts (shifts) and immediate factors (triggers) that create change in consumer behavior.
Identifying unmet needs created by these changes is crucial for innovation.
Components of the Consumer Trend Canvas:
Analyze (Left-hand side):
Basic Needs: Identify meaningful consumer needs addressed by the trend.
Drivers of Change: Understand why the trend is emerging, considering both long-term shifts and immediate triggers.
Emerging Consumer Expectations: Determine the new desires or wants created by the trend and how it satisfies them.
Inspiration: Explore how other businesses are applying the trend and draw inspiration from diverse sources.
Apply (Right-hand side):
Innovation Potential: Assess how and where the trend can be applied, including its influence on the company’s business model, products, services, or marketing.
Who: Identify the new customer groups likely to be impacted by the trend and find ways to make the trend relevant to them.
Innovation: Brainstorm and record innovative ideas based on the information gathered, fostering a creative environment with diverse opinions.
Key Takeaways:
The Consumer Trend Canvas offers a holistic approach to identifying and leveraging consumer trends for innovation.
It prioritizes being proactive in recognizing trends rather than following trends led by customers, emphasizing the importance of timing.
The canvas includes six key parts: basic consumer needs, drivers of change, emerging consumer expectations, inspiration, innovation potential, and new consumers or consumer demographics.
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Gennaro is the creator of FourWeekMBA, which reached about four million business people, comprising C-level executives, investors, analysts, product managers, and aspiring digital entrepreneurs in 2022 alone | He is also Director of Sales for a high-tech scaleup in the AI Industry | In 2012, Gennaro earned an International MBA with emphasis on Corporate Finance and Business Strategy.
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