History Of Financial Bubbles

CrisisMain ReasonsImpactLegacy
Tulip Mania– Proliferation of once rare tulip bulbs: Tulip mania was characterized by the rapid increase in the prices of tulip bulbs, which became a status symbol in the Dutch Golden Age. The rarity and novelty of these tulip varieties contributed to the frenzy. Over time, the proliferation of tulip bulbs led to oversupply and reduced their desirability.– Extremely high tulip bulb prices followed by a crash in 1637: The tulip bubble burst in 1637, resulting in a significant crash in tulip bulb prices, causing financial ruin for many speculators.Legacy: Tulip mania remains a popular term to describe speculative bubbles in markets, where high prices are associated with low-value or low-utility items, such as baseball cards, Beanie Babies, and NFTs.
Mississippi Bubble– Introduction of fraudulent fiat banking system: The Mississippi bubble occurred in early 18th century France when Scottish banker John Law convinced the French government to transition from a gold and silver-based currency to a paper currency system. Law’s Mississippi Company was granted exclusive trade and tax collection rights, driving speculative investment.– Hyperinflation and total collapse of share prices: The share prices of the Mississippi Company soared to unsustainable levels before collapsing by 1900% in less than a year. Law had to flee France, and the financial system was in disarray.Legacy: The Mississippi Bubble is a historical example of the dangers of speculative manias and the consequences of unchecked financial speculation. It also introduced the concept of central banking, which has had a lasting impact on modern monetary systems.
South Sea Bubble– Overvaluation of South Sea Company shares: The South Sea Bubble, which took place in 1720 in Britain, involved the South Sea Company, formed to reduce the national debt by trading slaves to Spanish America. Investor sentiment was driven by the potential for the company to profit from its ventures. However, the company’s operations were more akin to a bank, and it engaged in financial speculation.– Share price crash and impeachment of company directors: The bubble burst, causing the share price to plummet. Many directors of the South Sea Company were impeached or imprisoned, and investors suffered significant losses.Legacy: The South Sea Bubble serves as an early example of a Ponzi scheme, where capital from new investors was used to pay returns to earlier investors. It highlights the risks of speculative investing and fraudulent financial practices.
Stock Market Crash of 1929– Complacency, speculation, government mismanagement: The 1929 stock market crash in the United States was fueled by a combination of factors, including complacency during the economic prosperity of the 1920s, widespread speculation in the stock market, and government mismanagement of financial regulations.– Precipitated the Great Depression, economic turmoil: The crash of 1929 led to a severe economic downturn known as the Great Depression, characterized by high unemployment, bank failures, and widespread suffering. It took years for the economy to recover.Legacy: The Stock Market Crash of 1929 led to significant financial regulations and reforms, including the establishment of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to oversee the securities industry and restore investor confidence.
Japanese Lost Decade– Bank deregulation, expansionary monetary policy: The Japanese asset price bubble occurred between 1986 and 1991, driven by inflated real estate and stock market prices. Bank deregulation and expansionary monetary policy contributed to speculative lending and investments.– Economic stagnation and asset bubble burst: The bubble burst, causing real estate and stock market prices to plummet. Japan entered a period of economic stagnation known as the “Lost Decade” as it struggled to recover from the burst bubble.Legacy: The Japanese Lost Decade serves as a cautionary tale of the consequences of an asset bubble and the challenges of recovering from economic stagnation. It also prompted reforms in Japan’s banking and financial sectors.
Dot-com Bubble– Rampant speculation of internet-related companies: The dot-com bubble of the late 1990s was characterized by a rapid rise in technology stock valuations, driven by speculative investments in internet-related companies, many of which had little or no profit.– NASDAQ lost 80% of its value, burst of tech bubble: When interest rates were raised in the late 1990s, the bubble burst. The NASDAQ index, which heavily featured technology stocks, lost 80% of its value by October 2002.Legacy: The dot-com bubble highlighted the risks of speculative investing and the importance of evaluating the fundamentals of companies. Surviving internet companies adopted a leaner and more sustainable approach to business operations, contributing to the development of the modern tech industry.
2007-8 Global Financial Crisis– Subprime mortgage industry, loosened lending criteria: The global financial crisis (GFC) was triggered by the collapse of the subprime mortgage market in the United States, driven by the issuance of risky mortgages and loosened lending criteria.– Global financial stress, collapse of major banks: The GFC led to a worldwide financial crisis, resulting in the collapse of major financial institutions, a severe economic recession, and widespread financial distress.Legacy: The GFC prompted significant regulatory changes and financial reforms, including stricter oversight of financial institutions, increased capital requirements, and changes to monetary policy. It also highlighted the interconnectedness of global financial markets and the need for international coordination in crisis response.

Tulip mania

tulip-mania
Tulip mania was a period during the 17th century where contract prices for tulip bulbs reached extremely high levels before crashing in 1637. The causes of tulip mania have perhaps been distorted over the centuries, with many assuming it was one of the first examples of a market bubble bursting. However, the proliferation of once rare tulip bulbs probably lead to them becoming less desirable. Tulip mania remains a popular term to describe markets where high prices are associated with low value or low utility items, including baseball cards, Beanie Babies, and NFTs.

Tulip mania, also known as the Dutch tulip bubble, was a period during the 17th century where contract prices for tulip bulbs reached extremely high levels before crashing in 1637. Trading became increasingly more organized in these rare tulips, with companies established to grow, buy, and sell them. Cultivation techniques also improved, which caused more and more people to speculate on tulip bulb prices. 

Mississippi Bubble

mississippi-bubble
The Mississippi bubble occurred when a fraudulent fiat banking system was unleashed in a French economy on the verge of bankruptcy. Scottish banker John Law proposed that the French transition from gold and silver-based currency to paper currency. Law theorized that he could sell shares in the Mississippi Company to pay off French national debt. When the company secured total control of European trade and tax collection, investor speculation increased to unsustainable levels. The company share price reached its peak in January 1720 as more and more speculative investors entered the fray. Law continued to issue banknotes to fund share purchases, which inevitably caused hyperinflation. Less than twelve months later, shares in the Mississippi Company declined by 1900% and Law had to flee France in disgrace.

The Mississippi bubble occurred when a fraudulent fiat banking system was unleashed in a French economy on the verge of bankruptcy. Happened in the 1700s, the Mississippi bubble was among the most incredible financial bubbles of human history. The scapegoat of this financial bubble was John Law, which introduced the concept of central banking, by convincing King Louis XV to restore France’s prosperity through monetary stimulus, something unprecedented before.

South Sea Bubble

south-sea-bubble
The South Sea Bubble describes the financial collapse of the South Sea Company in 1720, which was formed to supply slaves to Spanish America and reduce Britain’s national debt. Investors saw the potential for the South Sea Company to collect interest on the loan in addition to collecting profits from its gold, silver, and slave interests. Positive sentiment was also driven by the actions of the government. Lucrative trade profits never materialized, which caused the share price to become dangerously overvalued. Instead, the South Sea Company operated more like a bank and less like a shipping business. Capital invested from waves of new investors was redistributed to older investors in an early Ponzi scheme. The share price crashed in December 1720, with many South Sea Company directors impeached or imprisoned.

The South Sea Bubble describes the financial collapse of the South Sea Company in 1720, which was formed to supply slaves to Spanish America and reduce Britain’s national debt. The story behind the South Sea Bubble is somewhat complicated. However, it begins with the formation of the South Sea Company in 1711 by Robert Harvey.

Stock Market Crash of 1929

stock-market-crash-of-1929
The Stock Market Crash of 1929 was a major American stock market crash in October 1929 that precipitated the beginning of the Great Depression. Black Friday, Black Monday, and Black Tuesday are terms used to describe the calamitous fall of the Dow Jones Industrial Average over three days. The index would slide further in the following years and would not recapture its pre-crash value until November 1954. The Stock Market Crash of 1929 was caused by complacency during the economic prosperity of the 1920s with many new investors buying stocks on margin. Government mismanagement and company share prices that did not reflect their true value were also contributing factors.

The Stock Market Crash of 1929 was a major American stock market crash in October 1929 that precipitated the beginning of the Great Depression. Various causes stood behind the financial collapse of 1929, some of which attributed to speculation, government mismanagement, and oversupply.

Japanese Lost Decade

japan-lost-decade
The Japanese asset price bubble resulted in greatly inflated real estate and stock market prices between 1986 and 1991. During the late 1980s, the Japanese economy was booming as a result of exuberance in equity markets and skyrocketing real estate prices. The Nikkei stock market index reached a peak of 38,916 on December 29, 1989. The bubble burst soon after as the Bank of Japan raised bank lending rates to try to keep inflation and speculation in check. The economy lost over $2 trillion in value over the next twelve months. The Japanese asset price bubble was primarily caused by bank deregulation and expansionary monetary policy. Japanese banks who had lost their corporate clients instead lent to riskier small and medium enterprises. The 1985 Plaza Accord trade agreement also caused a sharp appreciation in the yen, which caused massive speculation that the Bank of Japan was happy to ride for years.

The Japanese asset price bubble resulted in greatly inflated real estate and stock market prices between 1986 and 1991 which resulted in the largest Japan financial bubble, which also caused a decade of economic stagnation for the Japanese economy.

Dot-com Bubble

dot-com-bubble
The dot-com bubble describes a rapid rise in technology stock equity valuations during the bull market of the late 1990s. The stock market bubble was caused by rampant speculation of internet-related companies. At the height of the dot-com bubble, instances of private investors quitting their day jobs to trade on the financial market were common. Thousands of companies held profitable IPOs despite earning no profit or even revenue in some cases. The dot-com bubble began to burst after interest rates were raised five times between 1999 and 2000. Wall Street analysts, perhaps seeing the writing on the wall, advised investors to lower their exposure to dot-com stocks. The NASDAQ peaked in March 2000 and had lost 80% of its value by October 2002.

The dot-com bubble describes a rapid rise in technology stock equity valuations during the bull market of the late 1990s. The stock market bubble was caused by rampant speculation of internet-related companies. In part, this was caused by the easily available liquidity in the markets combined with the rise of Internet companies. After the dot-com bubbles, the survived Internet companies learned how to master a leaner playbook.

2007-8 Global Financial Crisis

global-financial-crisis
The global financial crisis (GFC) refers to a period of extreme stress in global financial markets and banking systems between 2007 and 2009. The global financial crisis was precipitated by changes to legislation in the 1970s. The changes created the subprime mortgage industry and forced banks to loosen their lending criteria for lower-income borrowers. When the subprime market collapsed in 2008, one-fifth of homes in the United States had been purchased with subprime loans. Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers collapsed because of their excessive exposure to toxic debt, while consumers were left with mortgages far exceeding the value of their homes. In the aftermath of the GFC, interest rates were reduced to near zero and there was sweeping financial reform.

The global financial crisis (GFC) refers to a period of extreme stress in global financial markets and banking systems between 2007 and 2009, which changed the financial system culminating in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act. The seeds of the global financial crisis can be traced back to the 1970s, with the Community development Act leading to the creation of a massive derivative market based on real estate assets (subprime). This coupled with easy liquidity, and speculation has led to financial turmoil compared to the 1929 stock market crash.

Key highlights about various historical market bubbles and financial crises:

  • Tulip Mania (17th Century): Tulip mania was a period of extremely high prices for tulip bulbs, which eventually crashed. The causes of the mania included speculation, organized trading, and improved cultivation techniques. The bubble is often used as an example of market bubbles and their eventual crashes.
  • Mississippi Bubble (1710s-1720s): The Mississippi bubble was a financial crisis in France caused by a fraudulent fiat banking system. John Law proposed transitioning to paper currency and created the Mississippi Company to pay off national debt. Speculative investments led to hyperinflation, and the share price of the company collapsed, causing Law to flee.
  • South Sea Bubble (1720): The South Sea Bubble was a financial collapse in Britain involving the South Sea Company, which was formed to reduce national debt and supply slaves to Spanish America. Overvaluation of the company’s shares and government involvement led to a crash in share prices, with many directors implicated.
  • Stock Market Crash of 1929: The Stock Market Crash of 1929 was a major American stock market crash that marked the beginning of the Great Depression. Over-speculation, government mismanagement, and overvaluation of company shares contributed to the crash.
  • Japanese Lost Decade (1980s-1990s): The Japanese asset price bubble led to inflated real estate and stock market prices in Japan. Factors contributing to the bubble included bank deregulation, expansionary monetary policy, and appreciation of the yen due to trade agreements. The bubble burst, leading to a decade of economic stagnation.
  • Dot-com Bubble (Late 1990s): The dot-com bubble involved a rapid rise in technology stock valuations fueled by speculation of internet-related companies. Many companies with no profits or revenue held successful IPOs. The bubble burst due to interest rate hikes and resulted in significant stock market losses.
  • 2007-8 Global Financial Crisis: The global financial crisis was a period of extreme stress in global financial markets and banking systems between 2007 and 2009. The crisis was triggered by changes to legislation in the 1970s that created the subprime mortgage industry and led to excessive risk-taking and lending. The crisis resulted in the collapse of major financial institutions, government intervention, and sweeping financial reform.

Connected Economic Concepts

Market Economy

market-economy
The idea of a market economy first came from classical economists, including David Ricardo, Jean-Baptiste Say, and Adam Smith. All three of these economists were advocates for a free market. They argued that the “invisible hand” of market incentives and profit motives were more efficient in guiding economic decisions to prosperity than strict government planning.

Positive and Normative Economics

positive-and-normative-economics
Positive economics is concerned with describing and explaining economic phenomena; it is based on facts and empirical evidence. Normative economics, on the other hand, is concerned with making judgments about what “should be” done. It contains value judgments and recommendations about how the economy should be.

Inflation

how-does-inflation-affect-the-economy
When there is an increased price of goods and services over a long period, it is called inflation. In these times, currency shows less potential to buy products and services. Thus, general prices of goods and services increase. Consequently, decreases in the purchasing power of currency is called inflation. 

Asymmetric Information

asymmetric-information
Asymmetric information as a concept has probably existed for thousands of years, but it became mainstream in 2001 after Michael Spence, George Akerlof, and Joseph Stiglitz won the Nobel Prize in Economics for their work on information asymmetry in capital markets. Asymmetric information, otherwise known as information asymmetry, occurs when one party in a business transaction has access to more information than the other party.

Autarky

autarky
Autarky comes from the Greek words autos (self)and arkein (to suffice) and in essence, describes a general state of self-sufficiency. However, the term is most commonly used to describe the economic system of a nation that can operate without support from the economic systems of other nations. Autarky, therefore, is an economic system characterized by self-sufficiency and limited trade with international partners.

Demand-Side Economics

demand-side-economics
Demand side economics refers to a belief that economic growth and full employment are driven by the demand for products and services.

Supply-Side Economics

supply-side-economics
Supply side economics is a macroeconomic theory that posits that production or supply is the main driver of economic growth.

Creative Destruction

creative-destruction
Creative destruction was first described by Austrian economist Joseph Schumpeter in 1942, who suggested that capital was never stationary and constantly evolving. To describe this process, Schumpeter defined creative destruction as the “process of industrial mutation that incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one.” Therefore, creative destruction is the replacing of long-standing practices or procedures with more innovative, disruptive practices in capitalist markets.

Happiness Economics

happiness-economics
Happiness economics seeks to relate economic decisions to wider measures of individual welfare than traditional measures which focus on income and wealth. Happiness economics, therefore, is the formal study of the relationship between individual satisfaction, employment, and wealth.

Oligopsony

oligopsony
An oligopsony is a market form characterized by the presence of only a small number of buyers. These buyers have market power and can lower the price of a good or service because of a lack of competition. In other words, the seller loses its bargaining power because it is unable to find a buyer outside of the oligopsony that is willing to pay a better price.

Animal Spirits

animal-spirits
The term “animal spirits” is derived from the Latin spiritus animalis, loosely translated as “the breath that awakens the human mind”. As far back as 300 B.C., animal spirits were used to explain psychological phenomena such as hysterias and manias. Animal spirits also appeared in literature where they exemplified qualities such as exuberance, gaiety, and courage.  Thus, the term “animal spirits” is used to describe how people arrive at financial decisions during periods of economic stress or uncertainty.

State Capitalism

state-capitalism
State capitalism is an economic system where business and commercial activity is controlled by the state through state-owned enterprises. In a state capitalist environment, the government is the principal actor. It takes an active role in the formation, regulation, and subsidization of businesses to divert capital to state-appointed bureaucrats. In effect, the government uses capital to further its political ambitions or strengthen its leverage on the international stage.

Boom And Bust Cycle

boom-and-bust-cycle
The boom and bust cycle describes the alternating periods of economic growth and decline common in many capitalist economies. The boom and bust cycle is a phrase used to describe the fluctuations in an economy in which there is persistent expansion and contraction. Expansion is associated with prosperity, while the contraction is associated with either a recession or a depression.

Paradox of Thrift

paradox-of-thrift
The paradox of thrift was popularised by British economist John Maynard Keynes and is a central component of Keynesian economics. Proponents of Keynesian economics believe the proper response to a recession is more spending, more risk-taking, and less saving. They also believe that spending, otherwise known as consumption, drives economic growth. The paradox of thrift, therefore, is an economic theory arguing that personal savings are a net drag on the economy during a recession.

Circular Flow Model

circular-flow-model
In simplistic terms, the circular flow model describes the mutually beneficial exchange of money between the two most vital parts of an economy: households, firms and how money moves between them. The circular flow model describes money as it moves through various aspects of society in a cyclical process.

Trade Deficit

trade-deficit
Trade deficits occur when a country’s imports outweigh its exports over a specific period. Experts also refer to this as a negative balance of trade. Most of the time, trade balances are calculated based on a variety of different categories.

Market Types

market-types
A market type is a way a given group of consumers and producers interact, based on the context determined by the readiness of consumers to understand the product, the complexity of the product; how big is the existing market and how much it can potentially expand in the future.

Rational Choice Theory

rational-choice-theory
Rational choice theory states that an individual uses rational calculations to make rational choices that are most in line with their personal preferences. Rational choice theory refers to a set of guidelines that explain economic and social behavior. The theory has two underlying assumptions, which are completeness (individuals have access to a set of alternatives among they can equally choose) and transitivity.

Conflict Theory

conflict-theory
Conflict theory argues that due to competition for limited resources, society is in a perpetual state of conflict.

Peer-to-Peer Economy

peer-to-peer-economy
The peer-to-peer (P2P) economy is one where buyers and sellers interact directly without the need for an intermediary third party or other business. The peer-to-peer economy is a business model where two individuals buy and sell products and services directly. In a peer-to-peer company, the seller has the ability to create the product or offer the service themselves.

Knowledge-Economy

knowledge-economy
The term “knowledge economy” was first coined in the 1960s by Peter Drucker. The management consultant used the term to describe a shift from traditional economies, where there was a reliance on unskilled labor and primary production, to economies reliant on service industries and jobs requiring more thinking and data analysis. The knowledge economy is a system of consumption and production based on knowledge-intensive activities that contribute to scientific and technical innovation.

Command Economy

command-economy
In a command economy, the government controls the economy through various commands, laws, and national goals which are used to coordinate complex social and economic systems. In other words, a social or political hierarchy determines what is produced, how it is produced, and how it is distributed. Therefore, the command economy is one in which the government controls all major aspects of the economy and economic production.

Labor Unions

labor-unions
How do you protect your rights as a worker? Who is there to help defend you against unfair and unjust work conditions? Both of these questions have an answer, and it’s a solution that many are familiar with. The answer is a labor union. From construction to teaching, there are labor unions out there for just about any field of work.

Bottom of The Pyramid

bottom-of-the-pyramid
The bottom of the pyramid is a term describing the largest and poorest global socio-economic group. Franklin D. Roosevelt first used the bottom of the pyramid (BOP) in a 1932 public address during the Great Depression. Roosevelt noted that – when talking about the ‘forgotten man:’ “these unhappy times call for the building of plans that rest upon the forgotten, the unorganized but the indispensable units of economic power.. that build from the bottom up and not from the top down, that put their faith once more in the forgotten man at the bottom of the economic pyramid.”

Glocalization

glocalization
Glocalization is a portmanteau of the words “globalization” and “localization.” It is a concept that describes a globally developed and distributed product or service that is also adjusted to be suitable for sale in the local market. With the rise of the digital economy, brands now can go global by building a local footprint.

Market Fragmentation

market-fragmentation
Market fragmentation is most commonly seen in growing markets, which fragment and break away from the parent market to become self-sustaining markets with different products and services. Market fragmentation is a concept suggesting that all markets are diverse and fragment into distinct customer groups over time.

L-Shaped Recovery

l-shaped-recovery
The L-shaped recovery refers to an economy that declines steeply and then flatlines with weak or no growth. On a graph plotting GDP against time, this precipitous fall combined with a long period of stagnation looks like the letter “L”. The L-shaped recovery is sometimes called an L-shaped recession because the economy does not return to trend line growth.  The L-shaped recovery, therefore, is a recession shape used by economists to describe different types of recessions and their subsequent recoveries. In an L-shaped recovery, the economy is characterized by a severe recession with high unemployment and near-zero economic growth.

Comparative Advantage

comparative-advantage
Comparative advantage was first described by political economist David Ricardo in his book Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. Ricardo used his theory to argue against Great Britain’s protectionist laws which restricted the import of wheat from 1815 to 1846.  Comparative advantage occurs when a country can produce a good or service for a lower opportunity cost than another country.

Easterlin Paradox

easterlin-paradox
The Easterlin paradox was first described by then professor of economics at the University of Pennsylvania Richard Easterlin. In the 1970s, Easterlin found that despite the American economy experiencing growth over the previous few decades, the average level of happiness seen in American citizens remained the same. He called this the Easterlin paradox, where income and happiness correlate with each other until a certain point is reached after at least ten years or so. After this point, income and happiness levels are not significantly related. The Easterlin paradox states that happiness is positively correlated with income, but only to a certain extent.

Economies of Scale

economies-of-scale
In Economics, Economies of Scale is a theory for which, as companies grow, they gain cost advantages. More precisely, companies manage to benefit from these cost advantages as they grow, due to increased efficiency in production. Thus, as companies scale and increase production, a subsequent decrease in the costs associated with it will help the organization scale further.

Diseconomies of Scale

diseconomies-of-scale
In Economics, a Diseconomy of Scale happens when a company has grown so large that its costs per unit will start to increase. Thus, losing the benefits of scale. That can happen due to several factors arising as a company scales. From coordination issues to management inefficiencies and lack of proper communication flows.

Economies of Scope

economies-of-scope
An economy of scope means that the production of one good reduces the cost of producing some other related good. This means the unit cost to produce a product will decline as the variety of manufactured products increases. Importantly, the manufactured products must be related in some way.

Price Sensitivity

price-sensitivity
Price sensitivity can be explained using the price elasticity of demand, a concept in economics that measures the variation in product demand as the price of the product itself varies. In consumer behavior, price sensitivity describes and measures fluctuations in product demand as the price of that product changes.

Network Effects

negative-network-effects
In a negative network effect as the network grows in usage or scale, the value of the platform might shrink. In platform business models network effects help the platform become more valuable for the next user joining. In negative network effects (congestion or pollution) reduce the value of the platform for the next user joining. 

Negative Network Effects

negative-network-effects
In a negative network effect as the network grows in usage or scale, the value of the platform might shrink. In platform business models network effects help the platform become more valuable for the next user joining. In negative network effects (congestion or pollution) reduce the value of the platform for the next user joining. 

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