Expectancy theory was developed in 1964 by Victor H. Vroom, an organizational behavior expert and current business school professor at the Yale School of Management. Expectancy theory states that an individual is motivated to perform when they expect to derive positive results from their extra performance.
| Aspect | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Definition of Expectancy Theory | Expectancy Theory is a psychological theory of motivation that explores how individuals make decisions regarding their behavior and actions based on their beliefs about the expected outcomes. It posits that people are motivated to act in a certain way when they believe that their efforts will lead to a desired outcome or goal, and when they believe that the desired outcome is valuable to them. Expectancy Theory emphasizes the importance of three key factors: expectancy (the belief that effort will lead to performance), instrumentality (the belief that performance will lead to a specific outcome), and valence (the value an individual places on the anticipated outcome). This theory has broad applications in various fields, including management, education, and economics, as it helps explain and predict human motivation and behavior in different contexts. |
| Key Concepts | Several key concepts define Expectancy Theory: |
| – Expectancy | Expectancy refers to an individual’s belief that their efforts and actions will result in a specific level of performance. It addresses the perceived connection between effort and performance. Expectancy influences motivation by linking effort to performance. |
| – Instrumentality | Instrumentality is the belief that a particular level of performance will lead to a specific outcome or reward. It addresses the perceived connection between performance and outcomes. Instrumentality influences motivation by linking performance to outcomes. |
| – Valence | Valence represents the value or desirability that an individual associates with a particular outcome or reward. It reflects the subjective importance or attractiveness of the expected outcome. Valence influences motivation by determining the attractiveness of the anticipated outcome. |
| – Motivational Force | The motivational force, according to Expectancy Theory, is the product of expectancy, instrumentality, and valence. It quantifies the strength of an individual’s motivation to act in a certain way. High values for expectancy, instrumentality, and valence result in a stronger motivational force. Motivational force determines the level of motivation to engage in a specific behavior. |
| Characteristics | Expectancy Theory exhibits the following characteristics: |
| – Individualized | Expectancy Theory recognizes that individuals have unique beliefs, expectations, and values. It is a personalized theory of motivation, acknowledging that what motivates one person may not motivate another. Individualization accounts for varying motivational factors. |
| – Cognitive Process | Expectancy Theory is rooted in cognitive processes and subjective perceptions. It emphasizes how individuals mentally evaluate the likelihood of achieving desired outcomes based on their efforts and performance. Cognitive processing underlies motivation in Expectancy Theory. |
| – Goal-Oriented | The theory is goal-oriented, as it focuses on how individuals are motivated by their beliefs about the attainment of specific goals or outcomes. It provides insights into goal-setting and achievement processes. Goal orientation is central to Expectancy Theory. |
| – Practical Applications | Expectancy Theory is widely applicable in real-world contexts, particularly in management and organizational settings. It can inform strategies for motivating employees, improving performance, and achieving organizational objectives. Practical applicability is a hallmark of Expectancy Theory. |
| Revenue Models | Expectancy Theory does not generate revenue directly but can influence revenue indirectly through its impact on motivation and decision-making in various contexts: |
| – Sales Performance | In sales, Expectancy Theory can be used to motivate sales teams by linking their efforts (e.g., prospecting, lead generation) to performance (e.g., closing deals) and outcomes (e.g., commissions, bonuses). Motivated salespeople are more likely to achieve higher sales volumes, positively impacting revenue. |
| – Employee Productivity | Organizations can apply Expectancy Theory to improve employee productivity. By clarifying the link between effort, performance, and rewards (e.g., promotions, salary increases), companies can incentivize employees to work more effectively, potentially leading to increased revenue through enhanced output. |
| – Entrepreneurial Ventures | Entrepreneurs can use Expectancy Theory to set and communicate clear goals and rewards for themselves and their teams. Aligning efforts with expected outcomes can motivate entrepreneurial activities that contribute to business growth and revenue generation. |
| – Consumer Behavior | In marketing, companies can leverage Expectancy Theory by creating advertisements and promotions that clearly communicate the expected outcomes of purchasing their products or services. Aligning consumer expectations with perceived values can drive purchasing decisions and revenue generation. |
| Advantages | Expectancy Theory offers several advantages: |
| – Improved Motivation | By understanding and applying the principles of Expectancy Theory, organizations can improve employee motivation and performance. Clear links between effort, performance, and rewards can enhance workplace engagement and productivity. |
| – Effective Goal Setting | Expectancy Theory provides a framework for effective goal setting and achievement. Individuals and organizations can set realistic and motivating goals that align with their values and objectives. This can lead to more focused and successful efforts. |
| – Enhanced Decision-Making | Understanding the role of expectancy, instrumentality, and valence in decision-making allows individuals and organizations to make informed choices that are more likely to lead to desired outcomes. This can result in better decision-making and resource allocation. |
| – Increased Performance | Applying Expectancy Theory principles can lead to improved performance and goal attainment, which, in turn, can positively impact revenue by enhancing sales, productivity, and business growth. |
Understanding expectancy theory
If positive results are not anticipated, there is less likelihood the individual will perform at the maximum level.
Thus, it can be said that the individual determines their performance level based on the predicted outcome of their actions.
Based on extensive research into the motivations that influence decision-making, Vroom proposed that behavior was influenced by anticipated consequences or results.
This could then be used to explain why one behavioral option was chosen over another, with individuals more motivated to act if they believed:
- There was a positive correlation between effort and performance.
- They were competent at performing the work.
- The result of a favorable performance was a desirable reward that satisfied an important need, and/or
- The outcome satisfied the need to the extent that it made the effort worthwhile.
In more succinct terms, individuals choose to act based on estimates of how well the expected result of a specific behavior matches (or leads to) the desired results of that behavior.
The three variables of expectancy theory
Three variables exist within expectancy theory:
Expectancy (effort performance)
Expectancy is the belief that if one works harder, one will be able to attain the desired outcome.
In the workplace, expectancy is influenced by the employee’s confidence in their ability, whether they have achieved similar outcomes in the past, and the perceived difficulty level of the task.
Whether outcome attainment is under the employee’s control or influence is also an important factor.
Instrumentality (performance outcome)
Instrumentality is the belief that one will receive a reward such as a promotion or raise when performance expectations are met.
Instrumentality is influenced by the employee’s trust in those responsible for distributing rewards.
To increase motivation, managers should set clear expectations around the reward and communicate what each employee can expect to receive.
Trust also increases motivation, so managers must also their word and distribute rewards when they say they will.
Valence
Valence is simply the value one places on the expected outcome or reward. Value is determined by the employee’s preferences, needs, experiences, background, and level of expertise.
How can expectancy theory be used in the workplace?
For an employee to be motivated in the workplace, expectancy, instrumentality, and valence must all be present.
But to enjoy the benefits of motivated employees, managers need to remember that:
- Rewards should be valued by the employee in question.
- Rewards should be deserved and explicitly linked with performance. In other words, those that work the hardest should receive the most attractive compensation.
- Desirable performance should be recognized during appraisals, and
- How rewards are chosen, communicated, and distributed must be transparent.
Examples of Expectancy Theory in the Workplace:
Expectancy (Effort → Performance):
An employee believes that if they put in extra effort and work hard on a project, they will achieve better results and higher performance ratings during the performance appraisal.
Instrumentality (Performance → Outcome):
A salesperson believes that if they meet their sales targets, they will receive a bonus or commission as a reward for their high performance.
Valence (Value of Expected Outcome):
An employee values a promotion to a managerial position because it aligns with their career aspirations and provides a sense of achievement and recognition.
Using Expectancy Theory to Motivate Employees:
- Aligning Effort and Performance: Managers communicate to employees that their efforts will directly impact their performance and ultimately lead to desired outcomes, such as recognition or rewards.
- Ensuring Instrumentality: Managers establish a transparent and fair performance evaluation process, where meeting targets and demonstrating exceptional performance results in tangible rewards, like bonuses or salary increases.
- Valuing Employee Preferences: Managers consider individual preferences and needs when offering rewards, such as offering flexible work hours or additional paid time off for employees who value work-life balance.
- Recognition and Feedback: Managers provide timely and specific feedback, acknowledging employees’ efforts and accomplishments during performance appraisals and regular check-ins.
- Clear Communication: Managers clearly communicate the link between performance and rewards, making sure employees understand the relationship between their efforts and the potential outcomes.
- Creating a Positive Work Environment: A positive work environment that fosters trust and fairness can increase employees’ motivation to perform well, as they believe their efforts will be recognized and rewarded accordingly.
Key takeaways:
- Expectancy theory states that an individual is motivated to perform when they expect to derive positive results from their extra performance. If positive results are not anticipated, the individual is unlikely to exert the maximum level of effort.
- The three variables of expectancy theory are expectancy, instrumentality, and valence. Expectancy relates to a positive correlation between effort and reward, while instrumentality refers to the belief that a reward will be received if performance expectations are met. Lastly, valence is the extent to which an employee values the reward and is based on personal characteristics.
- Employees are most motivated when expectancy, instrumentality, and valence are present in the workplace. Management can satisfy each of these variables to the benefit of both the employee and the organization.
Key Highlights
- Development and Definition: Expectancy Theory was developed by Victor H. Vroom in 1964. It posits that individuals are motivated to perform when they anticipate positive outcomes as a result of their efforts.
- Motivation Based on Anticipated Outcomes: According to the theory, people determine their level of effort based on their predictions of the outcomes linked to their actions.
- Components of Expectancy Theory:
- Expectancy: The belief that increased effort will lead to improved performance. Influenced by self-confidence, past outcomes, and task difficulty.
- Instrumentality: The belief that good performance will result in rewards, such as promotions or raises. Linked to trust in reward distribution.
- Valence: The value an individual places on the expected outcome or reward, influenced by personal preferences, needs, and experiences.
- Application in the Workplace:
- Motivation Factors: For motivation to occur, all three components (expectancy, instrumentality, and valence) must be present.
- Reward Alignment: Rewards should be valuable to employees and clearly linked to performance.
- Recognition and Appraisals: Managers should recognize and reward desirable performance during evaluations.
- Transparency: Communication about rewards, their criteria, and distribution methods must be transparent.
- Examples of Expectancy Theory in the Workplace:
- Expectancy: An employee believes that putting extra effort into a project will result in better performance ratings during appraisals.
- Instrumentality: A salesperson expects a bonus for meeting sales targets.
- Valence: An employee values a promotion for career aspirations and personal satisfaction.
- Using Expectancy Theory to Motivate Employees:
- Effort-Performance Alignment: Employees should understand that their efforts directly impact their performance and outcomes.
- Ensuring Instrumentality: Clear and fair performance evaluation processes linked to tangible rewards.
- Considering Employee Preferences: Personalized rewards based on individual needs and preferences.
- Recognition and Feedback: Timely acknowledgment of efforts and accomplishments.
- Clear Communication: Explaining the connection between performance and rewards.
- Positive Work Environment: Trust and fairness foster motivation and belief in appropriate recognition and rewards.
| Related Frameworks, Models, or Concepts | Description | When to Apply |
|---|---|---|
| Expectancy Theory | Expectancy Theory proposes that individuals are motivated to act in a certain way based on their belief that their actions will lead to desired outcomes. According to this theory, motivation is influenced by three key factors: expectancy (belief that effort will lead to performance), instrumentality (belief that performance will lead to outcomes), and valence (value or attractiveness of outcomes). Expectancy Theory suggests that individuals will be motivated to exert effort if they believe that their efforts will result in desirable outcomes and that those outcomes are meaningful to them. | Apply Expectancy Theory to understand and enhance motivation and performance in organizational settings. Use it to identify and address factors that influence employees’ beliefs about the link between effort, performance, and outcomes, align individual goals with organizational objectives, and design reward systems and performance management practices that reinforce desired behaviors and outcomes. |
| Expectancy | Expectancy refers to an individual’s belief that their effort will lead to successful performance on a task. It reflects the perceived likelihood or probability that exerting effort will result in the desired level of performance. Expectancy is influenced by factors such as perceived self-efficacy, past experience, skills and abilities, and the clarity of performance expectations. Higher expectancy leads to greater motivation to exert effort and perform well. | Apply the concept of Expectancy to assess individuals’ beliefs about their ability to accomplish tasks and achieve desired outcomes. Use it to identify barriers to performance and motivation, provide training and development opportunities to enhance skills and self-efficacy, set realistic and challenging performance goals, and provide feedback and support to build confidence and increase expectancy beliefs. |
| Instrumentality | Instrumentality refers to an individual’s belief that successful performance on a task will lead to desired outcomes or rewards. It represents the perceived connection or contingency between performance and outcomes. Instrumentality is influenced by factors such as the fairness and consistency of reward systems, the credibility of performance evaluations, and the transparency of the link between performance and rewards. Higher instrumentality increases motivation by making the connection between effort and outcomes more tangible and meaningful. | Apply the concept of Instrumentality to assess individuals’ perceptions of the relationship between performance and rewards. Use it to evaluate the effectiveness of reward systems and performance management practices, communicate the link between performance expectations and rewards clearly, and ensure fairness and transparency in reward allocation to enhance motivation and reinforce desired behaviors. |
| Valence | Valence refers to the value or attractiveness that an individual assigns to a particular outcome or reward. It reflects the degree to which an outcome is perceived as desirable or satisfying by the individual. Valence is influenced by factors such as personal preferences, needs, goals, and the perceived significance of the outcome in relation to individual values and priorities. Positive valence increases motivation by making the desired outcomes more appealing and worth pursuing. | Apply the concept of Valence to understand individuals’ preferences and priorities regarding potential outcomes and rewards. Use it to tailor reward systems and incentives to align with employees’ needs and aspirations, identify meaningful and relevant rewards that motivate individuals, and create a supportive work environment that fosters a sense of value and appreciation for employees’ contributions and achievements. |
| Goal-Setting Theory | Goal-Setting Theory suggests that setting specific, challenging goals can motivate individuals to exert effort and achieve higher levels of performance. Goals provide direction, focus attention, and mobilize effort toward desired outcomes. Goal-setting theory emphasizes the importance of setting clear, measurable, and achievable goals that are linked to feedback and rewards to enhance motivation and performance. | Apply Goal-Setting Theory to establish clear performance objectives and expectations for individuals and teams. Use it to set challenging yet attainable goals that stretch individuals’ capabilities, provide regular feedback and support to track progress and adjust performance, and align personal goals with organizational objectives to enhance motivation, engagement, and performance outcomes. |
| Reinforcement Theory | Reinforcement Theory suggests that behavior is influenced by its consequences, with behaviors followed by positive consequences being reinforced and more likely to be repeated, while behaviors followed by negative consequences being weakened and less likely to be repeated. Reinforcement theory emphasizes the role of rewards and punishments in shaping behavior and suggests that positive reinforcement is more effective than punishment in motivating desired behaviors. | Apply Reinforcement Theory to reinforce desired behaviors and performance outcomes in organizational settings. Use positive reinforcement techniques, such as praise, recognition, and rewards, to encourage and reward desired behaviors and achievements, provide constructive feedback and coaching to correct and improve performance, and create a supportive and motivating work environment that encourages continuous learning and development. |
| Self-Determination Theory | Self-Determination Theory proposes that individuals are motivated to satisfy three basic psychological needs: autonomy (feeling in control of one’s actions), competence (feeling capable and effective in one’s activities), and relatedness (feeling connected and valued by others). Self-determination theory emphasizes the importance of intrinsic motivation, which arises from within the individual and is driven by a sense of autonomy, competence, and relatedness. | Apply Self-Determination Theory to foster intrinsic motivation and engagement in organizational settings. Create opportunities for employees to have autonomy and control over their work, provide challenging tasks that promote skill development and mastery, and foster a sense of belongingness and collaboration to enhance motivation, job satisfaction, and well-being. |
| Job Characteristics Model | The Job Characteristics Model identifies five core job characteristics that influence employee motivation, satisfaction, and performance: skill variety, task identity, task significance, autonomy, and feedback. According to the model, jobs that are high in these characteristics are more motivating and satisfying for employees. The model also proposes that job enrichment, which involves increasing the complexity and meaningfulness of tasks, can enhance motivation and performance. | Apply the Job Characteristics Model to design jobs and work environments that enhance motivation and performance. Use it to assess the degree to which jobs provide opportunities for skill variety, task identity, task significance, autonomy, and feedback, and identify areas for job redesign and enrichment to increase employee engagement, satisfaction, and effectiveness. |
| Social Cognitive Theory | Social Cognitive Theory emphasizes the role of observational learning, self-efficacy beliefs, and social influences in shaping behavior and motivation. According to the theory, individuals learn by observing the actions and outcomes of others, develop beliefs about their ability to perform tasks (self-efficacy), and are influenced by social norms, expectations, and support from others. Social cognitive theory highlights the importance of role models, feedback, and social support in fostering motivation and self-regulation. | Apply Social Cognitive Theory to understand and enhance motivation and performance in organizational settings. Use it to provide role models and mentors who demonstrate desired behaviors and skills, offer constructive feedback and coaching to build self-efficacy and confidence, and create a supportive and collaborative work environment that fosters learning, development, and continuous improvement. |
| Vroom’s Expectancy Theory | Vroom’s Expectancy Theory extends Expectancy Theory by proposing that motivation is influenced by the expectancy, instrumentality, and valence of outcomes. According to Vroom, individuals make decisions about their effort based on their beliefs about the likelihood of achieving desired outcomes (expectancy), the perceived connection between effort and performance (instrumentality), and the value or attractiveness of outcomes (valence). Vroom’s Expectancy Theory emphasizes the importance of aligning individual goals and rewards to enhance motivation and performance. | Apply Vroom’s Expectancy Theory to analyze and enhance motivation and performance in organizational settings. Use it to assess individuals’ beliefs about the link between effort, performance, and outcomes, identify factors that influence motivation and decision-making, and design incentive systems and reward structures that are perceived as fair, meaningful, and motivating to employees, aligning individual and organizational goals to drive performance and effectiveness. |
Read Next: OKR, SMART Goals.
Related HR Concepts












Main Guides:









