Mullins’ seven domains model tests a new business idea in seven areas: the market and the industry, each at a macro and a micro level, plus three about the team: its mission and appetite for risk, its ability to execute, and its connections. John Mullins of London Business School set it out in his book The New Business Road Test; the third edition (2010) introduced a revised version of the model.
How it works
Where you see it today
The micro-industry question, “how long will your advantage last?”, is the hardest one for many AI products. A feature built on someone else’s model can be copied when the model provider ships it, so founders need a source of advantage beyond the model.
A strong AI demo can make a micro-market look validated when it is not. Mullins’ “will the fish bite?” test asks for evidence that named customers will pay, not that they were impressed.
Language models can draft macro market and industry reviews quickly. They cannot do the customer interviews the micro domains require, and their market figures need checking against primary sources.
The book is aimed at executives as well as founders. Corporate teams launching AI products can use the team domains to ask whether they have the connections and execution skills a start-up would need.
Seven domains vs related tools
How to use it
- Write one page per domain and mark each as strong, uncertain or a possible fatal flaw.
- Test the micro-market with interviews and pre-orders, not with surveys of friends.
- For any AI product, write down what stops the model provider or a larger rival from copying it.
- Be honest about the team domains: list the critical tasks and who on the team has done each before.
- Revisit the weakest domain first, before refining the strong ones.
In the AI economy the seven domains shift fast: the big labs can reshape an industry in one release, so the micro-industry domain needs rechecking often. The Business Engineer’s view is that defensibility for AI start-ups comes from distribution, data and workflow ownership more than from the model itself.
Read: Startup Defensibility in the Era of AI Giants →Explore the platform →Related: Porter's five forces · Total addressable market · Product-market fit · Minimum viable product · Business model canvas
Frequently asked questions
What is Mullins' seven domains model?
A framework from John Mullins of London Business School that assesses a business idea across market, industry and team domains before a business plan is written.
What are the seven domains?
Macro market, micro market, macro industry, micro industry, the team's mission and risk appetite, its ability to execute, and its connections.
Where does the model come from?
It is set out in Mullins' book The New Business Road Test; the third edition (2010) added a revised version of the model.
Does the model work for AI start-ups?
Yes, with extra attention to the micro-industry domain, because advantages built on another company's model can disappear quickly.
Sources
- London Business School, John Mullins faculty profile (The New Business Road Test, seven domains)
- Mullins (2010), The New Business Road Test, 3rd edition, Financial Times Prentice Hall (publisher page and contents)
The full guide
The complete explainer, cleaned up and reformatted for mobile.
The Mullins’ Seven Domains model was created by John Mullins – a professor at London Business School – and outlined in his 2017 book The New Business Road Test: What Entrepreneurs Should Do Before Launching A Lean Start-up.
Understanding the Mullins’ Seven Domains model
The Mullins’ Seven Domains model is used by entrepreneurs to determine whether a new business idea is viable.
Mullins believes that opportunities are best understood in the context of three important elements: markets, industries, and one or more key people within the organization.
To that end, his model encourages entrepreneurs to answer the following questions (among others):
- Is there a market for the product?
- Are you the right person to pursue the idea?
- What is the level of competition in the industry?
The seven domains of the Mullins model
The Mullins’ Seven Domains model assesses an idea from seven perspectives (domains):
- Four pertain to the micro and macro aspects of the environment and industry, and
- Three pertain to the internal factors within a team or company.
Below we will take a brief look at each of the seven domains.
Environment and industry
- Market attractiveness (market domain/macro level) – this domain deals with data on the number of customers, sales value, and the number of units sold. It also determines whether a market is on the rise or in decline.
- Market benefits and attractiveness (market domain/micro level) – this domain involves a more detailed look at the market segment most likely to buy the product or service. How will they benefit? How would the product be different from the competition?
- Industry attractiveness (industry domain/macro level) – how many competitors exist in the industry? By extension, how difficult will it be to enter? It is also important to determine whether the buyer or seller has the most power and if the theft of strategies or ideas is commonplace.
- Sustainable advantage (industry domain/micro level) – related to this theft is the idea of sustainable advantage. That is, how easily will the competition be able to replicate the new idea? How could the likelihood of this scenario be minimized via patents, finance, or technology?
Team
- Mission, aspirations, and propensity for risk – now it is time to turn inward and analyze the start-up team. Are leadership and subordinates committed to making the company’s dreams a reality? How much risk are they ultimately willing to expose themselves to? Is the business in line with the founder’s personal values?
- Ability to execute on critical success factors (CSFs) – these denote high-level goals that play a critical role in organizational success. This means determining the decisions that will negatively impact the business when things are going well and conversely, the decisions that will benefit the business when things aren’t going so well. Does the team have the necessary skills to execute in either case?
- Consider team connectedness up, down, and across the value chain – in the last domain, Mullins calls on the start-up to analyze its relationships with suppliers, distributors, customers, investors, and other key stakeholders. How might these relationships hurt the business in the future and how can they be mitigated?
How should the Mullins’ Seven Domains model be interpreted?
For those who are less acquainted with the model, it may appear that Mullins has simply summarised what most people know about starting a new company and evaluating ideas.
Upon closer inspection, however, the model makes a few important distinctions:
- Industries and markets are not the same and should never be confused.
- Industries and markets must be analyzed at both the macro and micro level.
- The assessment of an entrepreneur or employee’s capabilities should not be confined to their resume or psychological test results, and
- The seven domains are neither equally important nor additive. Furthermore, the model should not be construed as a checklist since strengths in a few domains can compensate for weaknesses in others.
Case Studies
Launching a Health-Tech Startup
Environment and Industry Domains
- Market Attractiveness (Macro Level): Evaluate the health-tech market by assessing the number of potential users, projected market growth, and current industry size. Determine if the market is expanding due to increasing health-consciousness and technological advancements.
- Market Benefits and Attractiveness (Micro Level): Focus on a specific segment within the health-tech market, such as remote patient monitoring. Analyze how your product’s benefits differ from competitors, such as enhanced accuracy or user-friendliness.
- Industry Attractiveness (Macro Level): Investigate the level of competition in the health-tech sector. Research the number of players, their market share, and regulatory barriers. Consider whether established players dominate or if new entrants have opportunities.
- Sustainable Advantage (Micro Level): Assess your technology’s defensibility. Can your startup secure patents for unique features? Evaluate if financial resources or partnerships can deter competitors from replicating your solution easily.
Team Domains
- Mission, Aspirations, and Propensity for Risk: Examine the founders’ commitment to the startup’s mission. Ensure alignment with the team’s values and aspirations. Assess their willingness to take calculated risks, especially in a regulated industry like healthcare.
- Ability to Execute on Critical Success Factors (CSFs): Identify key success factors in the health-tech sector, such as data security and regulatory compliance. Evaluate the team’s expertise in these areas and their ability to navigate complex healthcare regulations.
- Team Connectedness up, down, and across the Value Chain: Analyze relationships with healthcare providers, insurers, and potential users. Ensure strong connections and trust exist, as these stakeholders can significantly impact the startup’s success.
Food Delivery Service in a Competitive Market
- Market Attractiveness (Macro Level): Assess the food delivery market’s size and growth trends. Consider factors like the number of customers ordering food online and the total market spending on food delivery services.
- Market Benefits and Attractiveness (Micro Level): Focus on a specific niche within the food delivery market, such as healthy meal options. Define how your service caters to the unique preferences of health-conscious consumers compared to existing competitors.
- Industry Attractiveness (Macro Level): Examine the level of competition among food delivery platforms. Investigate if there are dominant players and whether regulatory challenges exist, such as food safety regulations.
- Sustainable Advantage (Micro Level): Determine how your food delivery service can differentiate itself. This could involve partnerships with local farms for fresh ingredients, unique packaging, or an efficient delivery network.
- Mission, Aspirations, and Propensity for Risk: Ensure the founders’ mission aligns with providing convenient and healthy food options. Assess their willingness to adapt to evolving consumer preferences and navigate risks like changing food safety regulations.
- Ability to Execute on Critical Success Factors (CSFs): Identify critical factors in the food delivery industry, such as timely deliveries and food quality. Evaluate the team’s capabilities in logistics, quality control, and customer service.
- Team Connectedness up, down, and across the Value Chain: Establish strong relationships with local restaurants, suppliers, and customers. Collaboration with restaurants to source healthy ingredients and providing feedback mechanisms for customers can enhance the service.
Key takeaways
- The Mullins’ Seven Domains model is used by entrepreneurs to determine whether a new business idea is viable.
- The Mullins’ Seven Domains model assesses an idea from seven perspectives (domains). Four pertain to micro and macro level factors across the industry and environment, while a further three relate to the team within the start-up.
- The Mullins’ Seven Domains model is not a checklist that must be satisfied for organizational success. Nor is it a summary of what most people know about testing a new idea or starting a new company.
Key Highlights
- Origin and Purpose: The Mullins’ Seven Domains model was created by John Mullins, a professor at London Business School, outlined in his 2017 book “The New Business Road Test: What Entrepreneurs Should Do Before Launching A Lean Start-up”. This model helps entrepreneurs assess the viability of a new business idea.
- Context of Opportunities: Mullins believes that opportunities are best understood within the context of markets, industries, and key people within the organization.
- Model’s Structure and Focus:
- The model assesses the idea from seven perspectives, divided into two categories: environment and industry, and internal team factors.
- The four domains related to the environment and industry include:
- Market Attractiveness (macro level)
- Market Benefits and Attractiveness (micro level)
- Industry Attractiveness (macro level)
- Sustainable Advantage (micro level)
- The three domains related to the team include:
- Mission, Aspirations, and Propensity for Risk
- Ability to Execute on Critical Success Factors (CSFs)
- Team Connectedness up, down, and across the Value Chain
- Interpretation and Significance:
- The model goes beyond conventional knowledge by emphasizing distinctions between industries and markets, analyzing both macro and micro aspects, and considering team capabilities beyond resume and tests.
- The domains are not equally important, and strengths in some domains can compensate for weaknesses in others.
- The model is not a checklist but rather a comprehensive tool for evaluating new business ideas.










