
- Amazon is deliberately trading cash flow for AI infrastructure scale, executing the largest capex cycle in tech history.
- The TTM CapEx of $115.9B is not a cost spike; it is a capacity land grab to lock in dominant AI supply for the next decade.
- Early returns are visible: AWS growth reaccelerates to 20 percent, confirming real enterprise demand and validating the strategy.
The Strategic Logic
Amazon is using capital intensity as a competitive weapon.
The company is compressing free cash flow by $33B to build power, datacenter footprint, and silicon capacity that competitors cannot match without brutal internal tradeoffs.
This is a strategic inversion:
sacrifice financial optics now to secure structural advantage later.
Revenue Dynamics
Total Net Sales
- $180.2B
- Up 13 percent YoY
Interpretation:
Retail remains a stable cash engine that subsidizes AI buildout.
AWS Revenue
Interpretation:
The key signal is reacceleration, not the absolute number.
Enterprise AI workloads are materializing and are not speculative.
Capital Expenditure Reality
CapEx TTM
- $115.9B
- Up 78 percent YoY
Operating Cash Flow
- $130.7B
- Up 16 percent YoY
Free Cash Flow
- $14.8B TTM
- Down 69 percent YoY
Interpretation:
Amazon is deploying nearly all incremental OCF into infrastructure.
This is not mismanagement. It is balance sheet weaponization.
The AI Investment Equation
Massive Investment
- 3.8 gigawatts added (largest expansion in cloud history)
- Trainium2 fully subscribed
- Free cash flow intentionally suppressed
- Strategic intent: capacity as competitive moat
Enables
Measurable Returns
- AWS accelerates to 20 percent growth
- Multi-billion Trainium business scaling 150 percent QoQ
- Sustained enterprise commitments
- Demand validated through usage, not narrative
Interpretation:
Amazon is proving the AI capex thesis:
Build supply early. Capture demand later.









