Big Tech AI Spending Under Scrutiny: $1.4 Trillion in Commitments Face Earnings Test

As Big Tech earnings season begins, the massive AI infrastructure spending is under intense scrutiny. OpenAI alone has locked in over $1.4 trillion in infrastructure commitments through 2035—and the revenue to justify it hasn’t materialized yet.

OpenAI’s Infrastructure Commitments

  • Oracle: $300B ($60B annually for five years)
  • Microsoft Azure: $250B
  • NVIDIA and AMD: Nearly $200B combined
  • Stargate initiative: $500B over four years ($100B already deployed)

The Cash Burn Reality

  • 2024: $5 billion in losses on $3.7 billion in revenue
  • Through 2028: Projected losses total $44 billion
  • Cash flow positive: Not expected until 2029

The Comparison

Anthropic’s infrastructure commitments are roughly $100B total—manageable and adjustable. When growth disappoints, Anthropic can adjust. OpenAI cannot.

What Investors Are Watching

The $1.4 trillion in commitments cannot be unwound. There is no graceful retreat.

Sources: CNBC, The Business Engineer

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