LP stress is the hidden driver. With 12-13% of capital calls at smaller funds now paid late, fund survival requires finding companies that can generate liquidity within fund lifecycles.
Why AI Dominates
The Cascade
- LP Stress: 12-13% late capital calls
- GP Pressure: Need fast distributions
- Fast Cycles Win: 2-3yr vs 7-10yr traditional
- AI Wins: 65% of deal value
The Evidence
- AI Scale Timeline: 2-3 Years vs 7-10 years traditional (70% time compression)
- Faster First Financing: 65% median age at first round (AI vs non-AI)
- Capital to Repeat Founders: 53% (up from 21% in 2019, +152% increase)
The Reinforcing Cycle
AI Success Stories → More AI Investment → Faster Returns → LP Satisfaction → Re-Up → Cycle repeats → Capital concentration intensifies
Key Insight
This isn’t a trend—it’s a structural reality driven by LP liquidity demands.
The concentration is the feature, not the bug.
AI companies compress traditional 10-year paths to scale into 2-3 years. This makes AI the only rational allocation for funds facing LP pressure—not because VCs are “bullish on AI,” but because the alternative is fund failure.
This is part of a comprehensive analysis. Read the full analysis on The Business Engineer.









