OpenAI’s Bet: The Transaction-Fee Model for AI Commerce

OpenAI's Bet: The Transaction-Fee Model for AI Commerce

The Core Strategy

OpenAI takes a “small merchant fee” on completed purchases—not clicks, not impressions, only actual transactions.

This is the anti-Google play: no advertising, purely organic results ranked by relevance. With 900M weekly users and an 11.4% conversion rate (nearly 2× direct traffic), OpenAI is betting that users trust unsponsored recommendations more than ad-laden ones.

The challenge: building commerce infrastructure from scratch. “Still working with merchants on standardizing data.”

From Discovery to Transaction Fee (4 Steps)

  1. User Discovers: Organic results, no ads, no sponsors (“best wireless headphones?”)
  2. Checkout In-Chat: Never leave ChatGPT interface (Sony WH-1000XM5, $299.99)
  3. Purchase Completes: Retailer fulfills the order, “Order Confirmed!”
  4. OpenAI Takes Fee: Small %, refunded if returned

Why This Model Could Win

Advantage Detail
No Ads = User Trust Results are organic and unsponsored—pure relevance. “No advertising in results” — OpenAI official statement
11.4% Conversion Nearly 2× the 6% rate from direct website visits. Higher intent traffic (Source: SimilarWeb 2025)
900M Weekly Users vs. Gemini’s 650M monthly—largest AI user base. ChatGPT market leadership = distribution advantage

What OpenAI Still Needs to Build

Infrastructure Gap:

  1. Data standardization: “Still working with merchants on standardizing product data”
  2. Product catalog: Google has 50B+ products indexed; OpenAI starting from scratch
  3. Merchant relationships: No existing retailer network or billing infrastructure

This is part of a comprehensive analysis. Read the full analysis on The Business Engineer.

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