
From Trend: Three Scaling Laws
Test-time compute (inference scaling) is the new frontier. Models that “think longer” (o1, DeepSeek R1, Claude thinking) deliver better results but consume 10-100x more compute per query.
The Pattern
Monetize the compute-for-quality trade-off at inference time.
How It Works
- Offer tiered inference: fast/cheap vs. thoughtful/premium
- Charge based on compute consumed, not just queries processed
- Enable customers to select the quality level per use case
Case Studies
- OpenAI’s o1: More inference compute yields better reasoning
- Anthropic’s Claude extended thinking: Trades compute for quality
- DeepSeek R1: Open-source reasoning model
The business model: charge more for queries that think harder.
Unit Economics
A “thinking” query might use 100x the compute of a simple response. Usage-based pricing captures this difference. The model naturally surfaces upsell opportunities as customers discover which queries benefit from extended reasoning.
Strategic Implication
Training was a one-time cost. Inference is ongoing and scaling. The companies optimizing inference economics will capture the growth.
This is part of a comprehensive analysis. Read the full analysis on The Business Engineer.









