Waymo vs Tesla: 250K+ Autonomous Rides Per Week vs 40x More Real-World Data — Who Wins?

2025 has become the year of the robotaxi. Waymo leads with 250,000+ fully autonomous paid rides per week across five U.S. cities. But Tesla’s approach could change everything.

Autonomous Vehicles - Waymo vs Tesla

Waymo’s 2026 Expansion:

  • Over 10 million paid rides completed
  • Over 2 million fully autonomous miles per week
  • Expanding to 20+ new cities including London (international first)
  • First deployments in snowy climates (Pittsburgh, Minneapolis)

Tesla’s Data Advantage:

  • Gathers 40x more miles of real-world driving data per day than Waymo
  • 900x more from its global fleet
  • Cost per mile could be 30-50% lower than Waymo
  • Vision-only, end-to-end AI approach (no LiDAR)

The Safety Debate:

  • Waymo claims 5x safer than human drivers, 12x safer for pedestrians
  • Tesla FSD: 2.9 million miles between major collisions vs 505,000 for all drivers

The fundamental question: Waymo’s sensor redundancy (29 cameras, 5 LiDARs) versus Tesla’s camera-only approach. The winner may be whoever combines both first.


This is part of a comprehensive analysis of 20+ AI business trends for 2026. Read the full analysis on The Business Engineer.

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