FT analysis tracks employment and wages in tech from 2001 to present, split by social skill importance. The divergence is stark—and has been building for twenty years.
The Employment Gap
- High-social-skill tech jobs (developers, systems analysts): Employment doubled, index 100 → 220
- Low-social-skill tech jobs (programmers, statisticians): Barely grown, hovering near 100
The Wage Gap
- High-social-skill roles: ~118% of 2001 levels
- Low-social-skill roles: ~107% of 2001 levels
What This Means for AI
The labor market signaled for 20 years that pure technical ability without social skills isn’t scarce or valuable. AI accelerates what was already happening.
- Developers who built careers on collaboration—using code as a tool—will adapt. Their value was never in syntax
- Those who viewed coding as the core skill face obsolescence the market was already pricing in
This connects to second-order thinking: AI isn’t creating this divide—it’s accelerating what was already happening. The labor market priced this in long before ChatGPT.
Source: Financial Times Analysis









