The Stack Is Shifting Upward: Three Predictions for 2026-2028

The most important dynamic in the AI Value Stack isn’t static positioning — it’s that the boundaries between layers are moving upward over time.

Prediction 1: The Middle Layer collapse accelerates. As agentic AI systems mature, compression jumps from gradual to sharp. AI agents executing multi-step workflows replace teams of Middle Layer specialists.

Prediction 2: The Top-Middle becomes the competitive battleground. As the Middle compresses, organizations compete fiercely for professionals who combine judgment, cross-domain synthesis, and AI fluency. Compensation premiums increase significantly.

Prediction 3: The Top Layer fragments. A new distinction emerges between augmented experts (who use AI for productivity) and compound experts (who reshape their entire methodology around human-AI synthesis). The compound experts command an order-of-magnitude premium.

The career strategy isn’t “reach the Top-Middle and stay.” It’s “maintain a layer advantage over what AI can do.”

Read the full analysis on The Business Engineer

Read the full analysis on The Business Engineer

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