Three Competing Models for the Future of Consulting: Obelisk, Hourglass, or Box?

The consulting pyramid is dying. But what replaces it?

Three competing organizational architectures are emerging:

The Obelisk: 50-70% fewer entry-level hires, junior roles transform from “analysis production” to “AI output curation.” Most Big Four firms are betting here.

The Hourglass: Middle-tier work disappears entirely. Juniors manage AI systems while seniors keep client relationships. McKinsey’s approach — cutting 200 IT jobs while maintaining graduate hiring.

The Box: Near-equal senior/junior ratios. Everyone becomes AI-augmented. The “one-person unicorn” vision scaled.

Three Competing Architectures for Consulting

Each model has a critical vulnerability. The Obelisk kills the talent pipeline. The Hourglass creates a missing career rung. The Box requires execution capabilities that don’t exist yet.

See which model will win →

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