This week in AI talent: Google lost the man who co-invented the Transformer and the man who won a Nobel Prize for AlphaFold. The market gives Google a 3.2% shot at building the best model. The exodus is now undeniable.
What Happened
Noam Shazeer — co-inventor of the Transformer, co-lead on Gemini — joined OpenAI. Google paid $2.7 billion to bring him back from CharacterAI less than two years ago. Days later, John Jumper — Nobel laureate, AlphaFold creator — left DeepMind for Anthropic after nine years.
Seven of the eight authors of “Attention Is All You Need” have now left Google. They founded Cohere, Essential AI ($1B valuation), Sakana AI, Inceptive (RNA design), and NEAR Protocol. The paper that enabled $10 trillion in market value was written at Google — almost none of the authors stayed.
The key insight: Google doesn’t have a talent problem. Google has a product-culture problem that manifests as a talent problem. The researchers leave because they can ship faster elsewhere.
What to Watch Next Week
1. Whether Google makes a structural response or just raises retention bonuses
2. Anthropic’s next move with Jumper — does a science division get announced?
3. The last Transformer author still at Google — most watched researcher in AI
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